643  
FNUS53 KJKL 251952  
FWFJKL  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
352 PM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN ACROSS EASTERN  
KENTUCKY FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK, AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY STALLS  
ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE IN  
FROM THE WEST THIS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WITH A FEW  
THUNDERSTORMS ALSO POSSIBLE AT TIMES. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY, BEFORE  
DRIER WEATHER RETURNS FOR WEDNESDAY.  
 
KYZ068-079-083-084-261100-  
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, BURNSIDE,  
SOMERSET, MONTICELLO, STEARNS, AND WHITLEY CITY  
352 PM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS,  
THEN SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-95 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................2.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................81 DECREASING TO 24 LATE.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 - 0.28 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....119.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (119400 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................50 INCREASING TO 83 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.34 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................73 DECREASING TO 7 LATE.  
LVORI...............5.  
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.26 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................2.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....48.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (48000 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................10 INCREASING TO 35 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.  
 

 
 
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-261100-  
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-  
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,  
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,  
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,  
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, AND INEZ  
352 PM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-87 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................2.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................65 DECREASING TO 13 LATE.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.14 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-63 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....91.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (90700 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................42 INCREASING TO 68 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.23 - 0.35 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................60 DECREASING TO 10 LATE.  
LVORI...............5.  
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.34 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....78.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (77900 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................30 INCREASING TO 55 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.  
 

 
 
KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-261100-  
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-  
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MCKEE, ANNVILLE, LONDON, CORBIN,  
WILLIAMSBURG, BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO, PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND,  
HARLAN, PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT, BEATTYVILLE, JACKSON, HINDMAN,  
PIPPA PASSES, BOONEVILLE, HAZARD, MANCHESTER, HYDEN, JENKINS,  
WHITESBURG, COAL RUN, ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE,  
AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON  
352 PM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................2.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................69 DECREASING TO 15 LATE.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.18 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....137.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (136700 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................48 INCREASING TO 94 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.36 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................85 DECREASING TO 9 LATE.  
LVORI...............5.  
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 - 0.28 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....65.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (65400 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................19 INCREASING TO 46 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.  
 

 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND  
70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
GEOGERIAN  
 
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