596  
FNUS53 KJKL 282025  
FWFJKL  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
425 PM EDT FRI APR 28 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY  
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR A ROUND OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WITH THE BOUNDARY NORTH OF THE AREA,  
GENERALLY DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY, AND RECORD HIGHS WILL LIKELY  
BE TIED OR BROKEN ON SATURDAY. THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA TO START THE NEW WORKWEEK.  
 
KYZ068-079-083-084-290815-  
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, BURNSIDE,  
SOMERSET, MONTICELLO, STEARNS, AND WHITLEY CITY  
425 PM EDT FRI APR 28 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................66 DECREASING TO 17 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.  
LAL.................2.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....93.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (93400 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................64.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................73 DECREASING TO 9 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....182.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (182300 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................110.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 

 
 
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-290815-  
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-  
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,  
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,  
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,  
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, AND INEZ  
425 PM EDT FRI APR 28 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................66 DECREASING TO 18 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.61 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....97.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (97100 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................58 INCREASING TO 84 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-86 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................70 DECREASING TO 8 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25  
TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....183.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (183200 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................120.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 

 
 
KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-290815-  
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-  
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MCKEE, ANNVILLE, LONDON, CORBIN,  
WILLIAMSBURG, BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO, PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND,  
HARLAN, PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT, BEATTYVILLE, JACKSON, HINDMAN,  
PIPPA PASSES, BOONEVILLE, HAZARD, MANCHESTER, HYDEN, JENKINS,  
WHITESBURG, COAL RUN, ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE,  
AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON  
425 PM EDT FRI APR 28 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................75 DECREASING TO 16 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....87.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (86900 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................61 INCREASING TO 78 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-90 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................73 DECREASING TO 10 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25  
TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....174.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (173700 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................128.  
LVORI...............3.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
JP  
 
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