421  
FNUS53 KJKL 190941  
FWFJKL  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
541 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2017  
   
..LOWER HUMIDITY EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF  
THE COUNTRY WILL LEAD TO WARM AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY  
ALONG WITH GRADUALLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES. DRY AIR ALOFT IS  
EXPECTED TO MIX DOWN EACH AFTERNOON AND LEAD TO LOW AFTERNOON  
HUMIDITIES. HUMIDITY SHOULD BOTTOM OUT NEAR OR BELOW 30 PERCENT  
IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS THROUGH SATURDAY. LOOK FOR GOOD RECOVERY AT  
NIGHT FOR MOST LOCATIONS WITH THE RIDGES LAGGING. THE NEXT CHANCE  
FOR RAIN ARRIVES EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
KYZ068-079-083-084-192030-  
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, BURNSIDE,  
SOMERSET, MONTICELLO, STEARNS, AND WHITLEY CITY  
541 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....24.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (23500 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................4 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS  
DAWN.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................14 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.  
LVORI...............7.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-39 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX.... 7.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (7100 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................6.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 

 
 
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-192030-  
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-  
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,  
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,  
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,  
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, AND INEZ  
541 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....32.  
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (32300 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................14 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS  
DAWN.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................23 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX.... 7.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (6500 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................6.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 

 
 
KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-192030-  
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-  
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MCKEE, ANNVILLE, LONDON, CORBIN,  
WILLIAMSBURG, BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO, PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND,  
HARLAN, PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT, BEATTYVILLE, JACKSON, HINDMAN,  
PIPPA PASSES, BOONEVILLE, HAZARD, MANCHESTER, HYDEN, JENKINS,  
WHITESBURG, COAL RUN, ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE,  
AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON  
541 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26-36 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....23.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (23100 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................23.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS  
DAWN.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
ADI.................16 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.  
LVORI...............6.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26-36 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX.... 4.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (4000 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................5.  
LVORI...............5.  
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.   
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
KAS  
 
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