585  
FNUS53 KJKL 092133  
FWFJKL  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
DISCUSSION  
THE REMAINS OF WHAT WAS ONCE HURRICANE IDA WILL PASS  
WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MOISTURE ON  
THE FRINGE OF THE SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE REGION.  
THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE NEAR THE TENNESSEE AND VIRGINIA BORDERS  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...EVEN THAT PROBABILITY IS  
ONLY 30-40 PERCENT. ONCE THAT WEATHER SYSTEM PULLS OUT ON  
WEDNESDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE CONTROL OF OUR  
WEATHER...WITHOUT ANY MENTION OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST UNTIL SUNDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-104-106>109-111-112-114-  
116-101445-  
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-  
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-  
LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-CLAY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...  
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...  
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...SANDY HOOK...  
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...  
JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT RIDGES TO 90 PERCENT VALLEYS.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AT 5 MPH OR LESS.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (8800 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....42.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41600 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 
 
 
KYZ085>087-101445-  
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...  
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER  
LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT RIDGES TO 90 PERCENT VALLEYS.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN  
THE LATE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AT 5 MPH OR LESS.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......VARIABLE AT LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (9200 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 INCHES.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....38.  
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37700 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 
 
 
KYZ113-115-117-120-101445-  
KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-PIKE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HINDMAN...HAZARD...HYDEN...PIKEVILLE  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT RIDGES TO 90 PERCENT VALLEYS.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE  
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
LATE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AT 5 MPH OR LESS.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (5500 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 INCHES.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER IN  
THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....40.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (40100 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.  
 
 
 
KYZ084-101445-  
MCCREARY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITLEY CITY  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT RIDGES TO 95 PERCENT VALLEYS.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AT 5 MPH OR LESS.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (12300 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37.  
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37500 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 
 
 
KYZ088-118-101445-  
HARLAN-LETCHER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...WHITESBURG  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER  
LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT RIDGES TO 90 PERCENT VALLEYS.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-64 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AT 5 MPH OR LESS.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (6900 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY  
EARLY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER IN  
THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....39.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (39500 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 
 
 
KYZ110-119-101445-  
FLOYD-MARTIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESTONSBURG...INEZ  
432 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT RIDGES TO 90 PERCENT VALLEYS.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AT 5 MPH OR LESS.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (4900 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER IN  
THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....42.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (42400 KNOT-FT).  
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.  
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.  
 
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND  
60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
HAL  
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