394  
FNUS73 KJKL 152213  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COPPERAS CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY  
613 PM EDT SAT APR 15 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1900 EDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
GOOD MOISTURE RECOVERY IS ANTICIPATED IN THE RED  
RIVER GORGE LATE TONIGHT. POOR MOISTURE RECOVERY WILL BE SEEN  
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE WE MOISTEN UP LATE TONIGHT. A  
VERY LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MAY EVEN GO  
CALM AT TIMES AT THE VALLEY BOTTOM. RIDGETOPS WILL MORE LIKELY  
MAINTAIN THE WIND THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ON  
SUNDAY, BUT THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL COME SUNDAY NIGHT INTO  
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY WILL BE MORE HIT OR  
MISS, SO ITS POSSIBLE TO GET THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WITH VERY  
LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. PRETTY GOOD SHOT A WETTING RAIN LATE  
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS THE  
INVERSION MIXES OUT AND WE COULD SEE SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH BETWEEN  
9 AM AND NOON AS THIS OCCURS.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT REQUEST...MIN 54.  
RH..................45 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 90 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............52.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT /145400 KNOT-FT/ AT REQUEST.  
MIN...EXCELLENT /119500 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO  
FAIR (21200 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................104 DECREASING TO 10.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 34 32 30 28 30 32 33 35 37 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CCH OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............76 72 70 68 66 63 61 58 56 54 54  
DEWPOINT........50 51 52 52 51 51 51 51 51 51 51  
RH..............42 51 53 57 61 65 65 70 78 85 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 22 21 21 21 22 22 22 21 20  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1000145 144 120 72 48 44 33 27 26 23 21  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100, THEN 3.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.  
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR TO EXCELLENT (14000-61900 KNOT-FT)  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT  
(64900-66300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................12 INCREASING TO 36.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........43 52 56 61 69 67  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CCH OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30 40  
LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 3  
TEMP............60 62 67 72 75 77  
DEWPOINT........52 53 55 56 57 58  
RH..............75 72 65 57 54 52  
20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 SW 8 SW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 15  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 5 SW 10 SW 10 SW 15 SW 15 SW 15  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 13 W 12 W 12 W 12 W 12  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1  
ADI.............12 19 32 36 38 39  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/100019 14 42 54 60 65  
 

 
FORECASTER...KAS  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1706901.0/JKL  
.EMAIL BROCKCAMPBELL@FS.FED.US  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KY Page Main Text Page