303  
FNUS73 KJKL 041600  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CURT POND...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY  
1200 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND  
POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA, WITH THE GREATEST PROBABILITY ON  
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT  
TODAY WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AND THEN BECOME NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY  
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY, BUT REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT. RAINFALL  
TOTALS OF AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ARE LIKELY BY SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT REQUEST...MAX 80.  
RH..................52 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............61.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT  
REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 24 MPH.  
ADI.................54.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 84 84 80 76 73  
WEATHER COV..... CHC SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CCH OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 20 30 10  
TEMP............79 79 78 78 79 80  
DEWPOINT........60 60 61 62 62 63  
RH..............52 52 56 58 56 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 20 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 15  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 23 21 21 20 20  
ADI.............58 55 50 51 50 51  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS, AND A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............62.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
ADI.................44 DECREASING TO 6.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........69 61 77 90 99 98  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CCH OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 40 40 50  
TEMP............79 76 72 68 64 62  
DEWPOINT........63 64 63 63 62 61  
RH..............58 66 73 84 93 97  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 2 W 2 W 2 W 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 5 5  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 10 SW 8 SW 5 W 5 W 5 W 5  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 14 SW 9 W 7 W 7 W 7  
ADI.............44 9 4 3 3 3  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 3 3  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS, AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.  
RH..................MIN 71 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............61.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2  
TO 6 MPH.  
ADI.................5.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........98 95 92 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CCH OF PCPN (%).50 60 70 90  
TEMP............61 64 69 70  
DEWPOINT........61 61 61 61  
RH..............100 90 76 73  
20 FT WIND......SW 2G5 SE 2G5 E 2G5 N 3G5  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 5 SE 3 E 3 N 3  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 NE 3 N 3 NE 3  
ADI.............3 3 3 4  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...HAL  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1808905.0/JKL  
.EMAIL BROCKCAMPBELL@FS.FED.US  
 
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