905  
FNUS73 KLMK 261657  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BARFORD LANDING PRESCRIBED BURN...LLOYD A. FOE CONSUSLTING FORESTERS, LLC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY  
1257 PM EDT THU APR 26 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH  
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO  
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. ELSEWHERE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SMOKE  
DISPERSION SHOULD QUICKLY INCREASE TO GOOD EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE 5-6 KFT AGL RANGE THIS  
AFTERNOON AS WELL.  
 
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND  
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1600-34700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................7 INCREASING TO 26.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............67 67  
RH..............40 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 5.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7  
DISPERSION......2 2  
LVORI...........2 2  
ADI.............30 22  
VRATE KT-FT/100035 34  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-30700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................21 DECREASING TO 3.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........68 65 62 56 51 45 40 36 31 32 32 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............66 64 62 59 57 54 52 50 49 47 47 46  
RH..............41 44 48 51 55 59 66 71 74 76 76 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 4.2 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI.............21 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/100031 26 16 9 3 1 0 0 1 1 1 1  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-30700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (114800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 INCREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 72  
INCREASING TO 85 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 73.  
DSI.................3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 33 23 22 22 22 25 32 35 38 44 47  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 46 48 52 57 62 66 67 68 69 69 68  
RH..............76 79 71 66 57 50 45 43 42 40 40 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.2 1.6 3.4 5.1 6.2 6.8 7.2 7.6 7.7 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 3 7 10 14 16 17 18 20 21 21  
DISPERSION......2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............1 3 4 13 35 58 72 82 88 71 75 72  
VRATE KT-FT/10000 0 1 10 31 62 85 103 115 132 140 127  
 

 
FORECASTER...AMS  
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD A. FOE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1807988.0/LMK  
.EMAIL LLOYDFOE@TWC.COM  
 
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