444  
FNUS74 KLIX 180306  
FWSLIX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR INCREDIBLE FIRE...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
1006 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2018  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS  
WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE TO EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL  
GULF COAST REGION AND LOWER PRESSURES TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST WILL  
MAINTAIN PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. LOWER  
RAIN CHANCES AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT  
COUPLE DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. NO FOG IS  
EXPECTED.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............73.  
HEAT INDEX..........93.  
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...457-1036 METERS AGL DECREASING TO 183-213  
METERS AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO  
4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
LVORI...............4.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 13  
MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 84 85 85 83 82 85  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............81 80 80 80 79 79 78  
DEWPOINT........75 75 75 74 75 75 75  
RH..............82 85 85 82 88 88 91  
HEAT INDEX (F)..79 78 78 78 78 78 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE ESE ESE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE ESE ESE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 7 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............75.  
HEAT INDEX..........95.  
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-274 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 945-1372  
METERS AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
LVORI...............3.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 89 92 88 87 81 83 83 84 87 89 87  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............78 79 81 83 85 87 88 88 88 87 87 86  
DEWPOINT........75 76 76 76 76 75 75 74 75 75 75 75  
RH..............91 91 85 80 75 68 66 63 66 68 68 70  
HEAT INDEX (F)..78 78 85 89 92 94 94 95 95 94 94 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 8 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 7 10 10 12 13 12 10 10 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 5 6 7 6 5 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 5 7 8 9 10 9 8 7 5 5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 17 17 17 18 18 18 17 17  
TRANS WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............74.  
HEAT INDEX..........93.  
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...640-1128 METERS AGL DECREASING TO 122-244  
METERS AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5  
TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........84 82 79 74 71 68 63 60 62 66 68 69  
WEATHER COV.....CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............85 84 83 83 82 80 79 78 78 78 78 77  
DEWPOINT........75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 74 74 74  
RH..............72 74 77 77 79 85 88 91 91 88 88 90  
HEAT INDEX (F)..93 91 90 86 84 79 78 77 77 76 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SE SE SE ESE ESE ESE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 10 10 10 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SE SE SE ESE ESE ESE E E E E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............74.  
HEAT INDEX..........96.  
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 1524-1615 METERS  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
LVORI...............4.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 73 72 70 68 70 72 74 73 72 72 70  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............77 78 80 82 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 87  
DEWPOINT........75 75 75 75 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 74  
RH..............94 91 85 79 72 70 65 63 63 63 63 65  
HEAT INDEX (F)..76 76 78 84 90 91 93 94 96 95 95 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE E E E ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.ENE ENE E E E ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E ENE ENE ENE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 6 10 10 10 14 14 14 13 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..E ENE ENE ENE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6  
LVORI...........6 5 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS LEROUGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1811613.0/LIX  
.DELDT 06/17/18  
.EMAIL CHRIS_LEROUGE@FWS.GOV  
 
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