364  
FXUS64 KLCH 301716  
AFDLCH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA  
1216 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017  
 
   
AVIATION
 
RAINS HAVE EXITED EAST OF THE AREA WITH SHARPLY DRIER  
AIR INCOMING FROM THE WEST. WILL JUST SEE SOME SCATTERED TO  
BROKEN UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH VFR  
CONTINUING. SATURATED SOILS FROM PREVIOUS RAINS ALONG WITH CLEAR  
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD YIELD SOME LIGHT BR LATER TONIGHT.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 955 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017/  
 
UPDATE...  
STILL SEEING MAIN CONVECTION AREA OVER THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE  
FORECAST AREA AND THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA BASIN THIS MORNING, AND  
THIS WHERE THE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE  
MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON, AS MOIST PLUME MOVING OUT OF THE  
GULF IS BEING ENHANCED BY UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. CYCLONE MOVING  
OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL  
HELP PUSH A COOL FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, BRINGING DRIER  
AIR AND GRADUALLY ENDING CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON. CURRENT  
FORECAST HAS A HANDLE ON THE SITUATION, AND NO BIG CHANGES TO THE  
GRIDS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  
 
RUA  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
AFTER A BUSY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE AREA, SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE EASTERN AND  
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE COLD FRONT WHICH  
IS NOTED THIS MORNING MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE  
AREA AND APPROACHING BPT. CAN NOT RULE OUT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT  
UNTIL AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
THEREAFTER STILL EXPECTING A BRIEF RESPITE AS THE PARADE OF STORM  
SYSTEMS STILL FORECAST TO CONTINUE. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL APPROACH  
THE AREA BY SATURDAY AND GUIDANCE IS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD START AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY  
ACROSS THE WEST AND OVERSPREAD THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO  
SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS  
WITH THIS SYSTEM, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN THAT WE  
SEEN ACROSS THE AREA THE PAST 24 HOURS.  
 
WILL ALSO NEED TO MONITOR THE SUNDAY PERIOD FOR POTENTIAL FOR  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL EXIT MONDAY  
AFTERNOON. THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES AROUND WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
AEX 76 54 84 57 / 30 0 0 0  
LCH 77 59 82 62 / 20 0 0 10  
LFT 79 58 84 62 / 40 0 0 0  
BPT 76 59 83 65 / 10 0 0 10  
 

 
   
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
LA...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
AVIATION...23  
 
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