411  
FXUS64 KLIX 081018  
AFDLIX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
418 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009  
   
SHORT TERM  
 
WILL CONTINUE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE  
TO INCREASE TONIGHT DUE TO INTERACTION OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER MID  
ATLANTIC STATES AND HURRICANE IDA...SO HAVE UPGRADED TO A COASTAL  
FLOOD WARNING FOR TONIGHT AS A GALE FORCE WINDS AREA EXPECTED IN  
THE COASTAL WATERS.  
   
LONG TERM  
 
AS IDA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO  
TUESDAY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND AS A RESULT GALE  
WARNING WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND A STORM WATCH HAS BEEN  
POSTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS AND COASTAL LAND AREAS MONDAY NIGHT.  
ALL DEPENDS ON HOW STRONG IDA BECOMES TODAY BEFORE IT BEGINS TO WEAKEN  
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER GULF WATERS.TUESDAY  
WILL BE WINDY AND TURNING COOLER. WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK  
SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE BUILD OVER THE AREA CAUSING THE WINDS TO  
WEAKEN.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MCB 75 59 68 60 / 10 30 90 60  
BTR 77 60 70 61 / 10 60 90 60  
MSY 77 64 71 64 / 10 60 90 70  
GPT 75 62 70 62 / 10 30 90 70  
 
 
   
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
LA...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING  
ZONES: LIVINGSTON...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER  
LAFOURCHE...LOWER PLAQUEMINES...LOWER ST. BERNARD...LOWER  
TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. JOHN THE  
BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...UPPER  
JEFFERSON...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...AND UPPER ST. BERNARD.  
 
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR  
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LIVINGSTON...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER  
LAFOURCHE...LOWER PLAQUEMINES...LOWER ST. BERNARD...LOWER  
TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. JOHN THE  
BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...UPPER  
JEFFERSON...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...AND UPPER ST. BERNARD.  
 
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR THE  
FOLLOWING ZONES: LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER LAFOURCHE...LOWER  
PLAQUEMINES...LOWER ST. BERNARD...LOWER  
TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER  
JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST.  
BERNARD...AND UPPER TERREBONNE.  
 
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE  
FOLLOWING ZONES: AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.  
 
GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO 6 PM MONDAY FOR THE  
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE  
SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60  
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING  
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL  
WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE  
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR  
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS  
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM  
20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF  
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20  
NM.  
 
GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING  
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND  
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF  
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR  
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO  
THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60  
NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM.  
 
MS...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR  
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: HANCOCK...HARRISON...AND JACKSON.  
 
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING  
ZONES: HANCOCK...HARRISON...AND JACKSON.  
 
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR THE  
FOLLOWING ZONES: HANCOCK...HARRISON...AND JACKSON.  
 
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE  
FOLLOWING ZONES: AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.  
 
GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO 6 PM MONDAY FOR THE  
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE  
SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60  
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING  
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL  
WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE  
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER  
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR  
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS  
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM  
20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF  
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20  
NM.  
 
GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING  
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND  
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF  
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR  
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO  
THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60  
NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST  
PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM.  
 
 
 
 
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