497
FNUS71 KBOX 151516
FWSBOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOVELL S LANE RX BURN...NORTHEAST FOREST AND FIRE MANAGEMENT, LLC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1116 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WARM FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS TO
THE REGION. ALSO SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY LATE
TODAY WITH SPEEDS UP TO 30 MPH...HIGHEST WINDS ACROSS RHODE ISLAND
AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY...WARM...DRY
AND WINDY WEATHER. WEST WINDS MAY GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THURSDAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN LOWERING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT THURSDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY.
OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
DRY WEATHER AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS RETURN FRIDAY AND
CONTINUES INTO IN THE WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL
LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (15600-50800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............62 82 85 89 93
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59 60 60 60 59
RH..................53 51 53 55 60
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD......16 17 18 18 20
20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 30 30 30
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.8 2.5 1.9 1.3 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....22 24 26 28 30
LVORI...............1 1 1 1 2
ADI.................48 50 45 37 28
CWR.................10 20 20 30 40
VRATE KT-FT/1000....51 51 40 28 16
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AROUND
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY DENSE FOG LATE...THEN PATCHY
FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING WEST 9
TO 13 MPH LATE.
CWR.................50 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 70
PERCENT...DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
EVENING...DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT...DECREASING
TO 40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30
PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT...DECREASING
TO 10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 16 TO 18
MPH LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (900-11400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............94 94 95 91 86 82 77 73 68 62 57 51
WEATHER COV.........CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV............ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP................58 57 56 55 54 53 53 52 51 51 51 51
RH..................64 72 80 86 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD......21 22 23 21 20 18 17 16 15 13 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....30 29 29 28 25 24 22 21 18 18 17 16
LVORI...............2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
ADI.................29 30 26 24 23 22 20 19 16 16 15 14
CWR.................50 60 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 10 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....11 7 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
THURSDAY
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1200-2500 FT
AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 500
FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-35100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.5 1.8 1.2 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 15 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16
LVORI...............5 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2
ADI.................14 11 15 16 20 25 28 33 35 30 23 18
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 2 2 8 14 20 24 31 35 26 16 7
FORECASTER...EVT
REQUESTED BY...JOEL R CARLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130515.LOVEL.01/BOX
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