479  
FNUS71 KAKQ 221512 CCA  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GEWA PILE...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
1112 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WARM AND MUGGY TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AS  
CLOUDS SCATTER OUT THIS MORNING BUT BEGIN TO INCREASE AND THICKEN  
THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY  
RAINFALL INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY  
MORNING...BEFORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP BY FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY EVENING. A BRIEF BREAK IS THEN  
ANTICIPATED FRIDAY NIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF TS CINDY ARRIVE JUST  
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT SATURDAY MORNING, WHICH WILL SLOWLY PUSH  
EAST-SOUTHEAST AND EXIT THE NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY  
SUNDAY MORNING. ONCE AGAIN, MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED  
WITH THE FRONT ON SATURDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH. AND  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............44 50 55 60 62 64 66  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
TEMP................84 85 87 88 89 90 90  
RH..................64 60 56 53 50 48 46  
20 FT WIND DIR......W SW SW S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 4 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 8 9 10 12 13 14  
LVORI...............2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
ADI.................18 23 29 36 30 34 37  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1000....12 17 24 32 36 41 46  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
LATE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL, DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL AND  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH, BECOMING WEST AROUND 22  
MPH LATE.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).............64 63 61 60 59 57 60 62 64 84 85 87  
WEATHER COV......... LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW  
TSTM COV............  
TEMP................87 86 85 82 80 79 78 77 77 76 76 75  
RH..................51 52 54 69 74 77 79 82 82 85 85 87  
20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD......6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15  
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 16 16 17 17 17 15 12 10 14 18 22  
LVORI...............1 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
ADI.................35 10 11 11 12 12 10 8 7 12 17 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 60 60  
VRATE KT-FT/1000....37 26 14 13 10 8 5 4 3 3 4 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 2500-3800 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH, INCREASING TO 24 TO 26  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).............90 96 93 88 81 77  
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
TEMP................75 77 80 83 85 86  
RH..................87 82 74 70 67 65  
20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)........300 400 1600 2500 3100 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 20 S 13 SW 14 SW 18 SW 24 SW 26  
LVORI...............4 4 3 1 1 1  
ADI.................18 14 24 41 58 69  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60 60 60 30 50 50  
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5 5 20 41 65 82  
 

 
FORECASTER...MONTEFUSCO  
REQUESTED BY...MATT WAY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1711272.0/AKQ  
.EMAIL MATT_WAY@NPS.GOV  
 
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