296
AXUS73 KMQT 020320
DGTMQT
MIC003-013-041-043-053-061-071-083-095-103-109-131-153-160330-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1020 PM EST SUN NOV 1 2009 /920 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2009/
...DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVE ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN DUE TO A WET
OCTOBER...
SYNOPSIS...
THE OCTOBER 27TH RELEASE OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR HAS REMOVED
THE SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...DUE TO THE PRECIPITATION THAT FELL ACROSS UPPER
MICHIGAN DURING OCTOBER. A MODERATE /D1/ DROUGHT STILL EXISTS
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM THE PORCUPINE MOUNTAINS...TO IRON MOUNTAIN.
ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS COVER LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A LINE
FROM TWIN LAKES...TO COVINGTON...TO WITCH LAKE...AND TO GLADSTONE.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ DROUGHT INDICATORS SHOW LONG
TERM MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...WITH NO DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER THE SHORT TERM. OVER
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...SHORT AND LONG TERM INDICATORS SHOW NO
DROUGHT DESIGNATION.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
NO KNOWN RECENT LOCAL...AGRICULTURAL...FIRE...OR WATER IMPACTS AT
THIS TIME.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES REGION AT THE END OF SEPTEMBER MARKED THE BEGINNING OF OF A
COOL AND WET PATTERN THAT CONTINUED THROUGH MOST OF OCTOBER. THIS
COOL AND WET PATTERN PRODUCED WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS
UPPER MICHIGAN...WITH MOST LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING PRECIPITATION
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL OF 150 TO 300 PERCENT. IN FACT...THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN NEGAUNEE TOWNSHIP RECORDED
THEIR SECOND WETTEST OCTOBER ON RECORD. SOME OF THE NOTABLE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR OCTOBER 2009 CAN BE SEEN BELOW.
LOCATION OCTOBER PRECIPITATION
IRON MOUNTAIN 4.04 INCHES /1.39 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL/
HOUGHTON CNTY ARPT 4.57 INCHES /1.98 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL/
WATTON 5.20 INCHES
MUNISING 5.62 INCHES /1.63 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL/
IRONWOOD 6.04 INCHES /2.65 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL/
NWS MARQUETTE 6.95 INCHES /3.29 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL/
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
EXPECT A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...WHICH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES FOR NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS TO BRING
WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ IS FORECASTING GREATER THAN
NORMAL CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FOR ALL OF UPPER MICHIGAN IN THE 8 TO 14 DAY
OUTLOOK. FOR NOVEMBER AND THE THREE MONTH PERIOD FROM NOVEMBER
2009 TO JANUARY 2010...CPC HAS GREATER THAN NORMAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER UPPER MICHIGAN...AND EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NORMAL...OR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF
UPPER MICHIGAN.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
WITH ABUNDANT PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF UPPER MICHIGAN DURING
OCTOBER...THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW FOR MOST RIVERS HAVE
RETURNED TO NORMAL VALUES.
SOIL MOISTURE VALUES HAVE ALSO REBOUNDED...WITH ONLY FAR WESTERN
UPPER MICHIGAN SEEING VALUES THAT ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
DUE TO THE SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT CONDITION BEING REMOVED FROM UPPER
MICHIGAN...THIS WILL BE THE LAST SCHEDULED DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED AGAIN WITH THE ONSET OF
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
MICHIGAN CLIMATE OFFICE...HTTP://CLIMATE.GEO.MSU.EDU
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS
BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
112 AIRPARK DR S
NEGAUNEE MI 49866
PHONE...906-475-5212
W-MQT.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV
SRF
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