026
FNUS53 KAPX 090911
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
511 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2008
..COOLER AND SLIGHTLY LOWER RH TODAY
DISCUSSION
COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE INTO NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. A DRIER AIRMASS WILL
ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
FALLING TO AROUND 35 PERCENT ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...WESTERLY WINDS WILL
BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL WEAKEN BY LATE THIS
EVENING...WITH LIGHT WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED HEADING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK...
ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-092030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
511 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT 57-62 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT AROUND 61 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-092030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
511 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 62-67 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 56-61 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1560).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 60-65 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (480).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ020-025>027-092030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
511 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER ALONG
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT 59-64 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES COOLER
ALONG THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT AROUND 61 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ031>033-092030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
511 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT AROUND 71 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER
ALONG THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 67-72 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (910).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-092030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
511 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1710).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
KAS
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