369
FNUS53 KAPX 182007
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
407 PM EDT THU APR 18 2024
..RAIN LIKELY TONIGHT/COLDER AND BREEZY FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
WITH RAIN AMOUNTS OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH EXPECTED WEST OF I-75...AND
0.25 TO 0.50 INCH EAST OF I-75. RAIN SHOULD PUSH OUT OF NORTHEAST
LOWER MICHIGAN AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY...AFTER WHICH WINDS WILL
PICK UP FROM THE WEST DURING FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTS TO 30 MPH
ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-190830-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
407 PM EDT THU APR 18 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
2400, THEN RAIN LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.26 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AND DRIZZLE UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1902).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (211).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1384).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-190830-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
407 PM EDT THU APR 18 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
2400, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.08- 0.38 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1878).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.14 IN.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT...EXCEPT 61-66 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (141).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1611).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ020-025>027-190830-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
407 PM EDT THU APR 18 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL
2400CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (48).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.23 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1965).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (266).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1241).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
MIZ031>033-190830-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
407 PM EDT THU APR 18 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2400,
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (52).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.11- 0.31 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1965).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (232).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1274).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-190830-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
407 PM EDT THU APR 18 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
2400, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.16- 0.37 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2035).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (185).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1539).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page