999  
FNUS53 KAPX 060939  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2009  
   
..DAMP CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
DESPITE TEMPERATURES TURNING MILDER TODAY INTO THE  
UPCOMING WEEKEND...SURFACE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE  
HIGH SIDE. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY...THEN AGAIN ON  
SATURDAY. A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY MORNING. THEN THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME SUNDAY  
NIGHT INTO MONDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-062115-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 60-65 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
AFTER 0400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 45-50 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (120).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 27 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL  
0700...THEN OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE UNTIL  
1300...THEN CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM  
GUSTS TO 24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (540).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-062115-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (430).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
AFTER 0400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (110).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL  
0700...THEN OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE UNTIL  
1300...THEN CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM  
GUSTS TO 24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (650).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-062115-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
AFTER 0400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 27 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
UNTIL 0700...THEN OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE UNTIL  
1300...THEN CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM  
GUSTS TO 24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-062115-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS  
TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
AFTER 0400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
24 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (120).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 27 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
UNTIL 0700...THEN OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE UNTIL  
1300...THEN CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM  
GUSTS TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (460).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-062115-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE  
AFTER 0400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO  
20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL  
0700...THEN OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE UNTIL  
1300...THEN CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM  
GUSTS TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (610).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
VETERANS DAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
KAS  
 
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