249  
FNUS53 KDTX 250810  
FWFDTX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
410 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AS A  
SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TAKES CHARGE OF THE GREAT LAKES  
REGION. WIND GUSTS WILL BE BETWEEN 6 TO 12 MPH AND RH VALUES WILL BE  
IN THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE THROUGH MONDAY. THE NEXT DISTURBANCE  
ARRIVES ON TUESDAY BRINGING INCREASED MOISTURE AND A CHANCE FOR SOME  
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.  
 
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-252115-  
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT  
410 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO  
15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6340-6840 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (740).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73-83 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
LATE.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST BY  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5910-6410 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 0 TO 5  
MPH BY AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (510).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ049-054-055-062-252115-  
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER  
410 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6240-6740 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1020).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......320-520 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5920-6420 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (660).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-252115-  
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...  
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE  
410 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6290-6790 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1110).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-31 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6340-6840 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (770).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
 
   
MEMORIAL DAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S.  
 
 
 
CB  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MI Page
Main Text Page