583  
FNUS53 KDTX 031949  
FWFDTX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
349 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
 
...THIS IS THE FINAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST OF THE SEASON.  
FORECASTS WILL RESUME IN SPRING 2018...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY CONDITIONS AND EASTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE NEXT DISTURBANCE BRINGS SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS PERSISTS  
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY BEFORE COLD FRONT PUSHES A BETTER CHANCE OF  
HEAVIER RAIN THROUGH IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.  
 
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041215-  
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT  
349 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
AFTER NOON UNTIL 3 PM THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 90 NEAR PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2770-3270 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (710).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE  
OF PRECIPITATION 90 NEAR PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......510-710 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY  
MORNING THEN BECOMING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (40).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
8 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL NOON. A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AFTER NOON.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1730-2230 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (430).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ049-054-055-062-041215-  
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER  
349 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......240-440 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
AFTER NOON UNTIL 2 PM THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
UNTIL 3 PM THEN RAIN LIKELY. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2830-3330 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (920).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE  
OF PRECIPITATION 90 NEAR PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......530-730 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY  
MORNING THEN BECOMING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
8 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL NOON. A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER  
NOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2160-2660 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (630).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041215-  
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN  
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE  
349 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......260-460 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN AFTER NOON UNTIL 2 PM THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN UNTIL 3 PM THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 90 NEAR PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-76 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (590).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE  
OF PRECIPITATION 90 NEAR PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
8 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 8 AM THEN SHOWERS  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 90 NEAR PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1260-1760 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 5  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (380).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
MONDAY
 
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S.  
 

 
 
SF  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MI Page Main Text Page