466  
FNUS53 KDTX 210836  
FWFDTX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
 
...THIS IS THE LAST FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE 2009  
SEASON...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER LAKE HURON AND LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY  
AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY. THIS HIGH WILL THEN GRADUALLY BUILD EAST OF  
THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212100-  
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT  
5 PM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75  
PERCENT). PATCHY FOG THROUGH ABOUT 10 AM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4790-5290 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST EARLY  
THIS EVENING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'FAIR' (170).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG BY  
3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
THROUGH 10 AM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2140-2640 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (330).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ049-054-055-062-212100-  
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT  
5 PM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75  
PERCENT). PATCHY FOG THROUGH ABOUT 10 AM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4990-5490 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'FAIR' (250).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG BY  
3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
THROUGH 10 AM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1930-2430 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'FAIR' (240).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212100-  
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...  
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT  
5 PM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75  
PERCENT). PATCHY FOG THROUGH ABOUT 10 AM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3880-4380 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST  
AROUND 0 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'FAIR' (250).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG BY  
3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
THROUGH 10 AM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2430-2930 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (360).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG BY 1 AM THROUGH 1 PM. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.  
 

 
 
DG  
 
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