941
FNUS53 KDTX 080823
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
322 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING TO LAKE
HURON THIS AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
PLAINS TODAY WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. THIS LOW WILL QUICKLY LIFT INTO CANADA ON MONDAY...DRAGGING
A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES BY MID WEEK.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-082100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
322 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 11 AM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG THROUGH ABOUT 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2160-2660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (320).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 5 PM...THEN
BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 1 PM. POP...40
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-63 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3540-4040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20 TO
25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MIZ049-054-055-062-082100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
322 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 11 AM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG THROUGH ABOUT 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1440-1940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'FAIR' (280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 5 PM...THEN
BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 1 PM. POP...30
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20 TO
25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-082100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
322 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 1 PM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY
FOG THROUGH ABOUT 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST IN THE
MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'FAIR' (230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2170-2670 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (490).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
VETERANS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SC/HLO
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