048  
FNUS53 KGRR 251902  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
302 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2017  
   
..DRY FOR MOST AREAS TONIGHT
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OTHER THAN A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TOWARDS LUDINGTON THE  
REGION IS FORECASTED TO REMAIN DRY TONIGHT. THEN AS WE  
GO INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE  
AND THAT WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN THE SHOWER ACTIVITY.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-260830-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
302 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 1500-2000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900  
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
1400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 53-58  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 12  
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 IN.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1400-1900  
FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.38 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 49-54  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
UNCHANGED INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5400-5900 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-900 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.31 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-260830-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
302 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
1400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.17 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6400 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 900 (EXCELLENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-260830-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
302 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.45 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5400-5900 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.56 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-260830-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
302 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.18 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.51 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-260830-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
302 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.32 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6100 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.46 IN.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO  
12 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 9 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
 

 
 
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