216  
FNUS53 KGRR 072037  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
335 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009  
   
..WARM AND DRY SUNDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK AND DRY COLD FRONT MOVING EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION  
THIS EVENING WILL STALL IN A WEST TO EAST FASHION LATE TONIGHT THEN  
LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY AND  
UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
TO MIDDLE 60S. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN ON SATURDAY.  
 
A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF  
SOME RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MONDAY AFTERNOON AND  
MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-080915-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...  
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS  
335 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH  
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-080915-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT  
335 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1300.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-080915-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN  
335 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3500-4000 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH  
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1100-1600  
FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1300.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 54-59  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......  
24 HR TREND......  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-080915-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...  
ST. JOHNS  
335 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1300.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-080915-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...  
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON  
335 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST  
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
VETERANS DAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
9 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 9 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO  
11 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S.  
 

 
 
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