827
FNUS53 KGRR 181916
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
..WARM AND DRY
DISCUSSION
THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WARM AND DRY INTO SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL REMAIN UNDER 20 MPH AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
STAYS WEAK. THERE COULD BE A LAKE BREEZE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
UNSETTLED WEATHER ARRIVES FOR MONDAY.
MIZ037>039-043>045-190830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.12 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.29 IN.
MIZ040-046-190830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.22 IN.
MIZ050-056-064-071-190830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5400-5900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.22 IN.
MIZ051-052-057>059-190830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.20 IN.
MIZ065>067-072>074-190830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
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