472
FNUS53 KGRR 181942
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
342 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
..DECREASING WINDS THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
WINDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE THIS EVENING AS THE MIXING
HEIGHTS GRADUALLY LOWER. ANOTHER GUSTY DAY IS EXPECTED
FOR FRIDAY ALONG WITH WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
HOWEVER A FRONT WILL BE DROPPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
MIZ037>039-043>045-190815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
342 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 900-1400 FT
AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
PERCENT INLAND.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 18
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4700-5200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
0200...THEN SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.12 IN.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.15 IN.
MIZ040-046-190815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
342 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2100 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
0200...THEN SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.15 IN.
MIZ050-056-064-071-190815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
342 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 57-62 INLAND.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3
DEGREES COOLER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 39-44
PERCENT INLAND.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 16
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2100-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4400-4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO
6800-7300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2000 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.13 IN.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.21 IN.
MIZ051-052-057>059-190815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
342 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-6900 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.21 IN.
MIZ065>067-072>074-190815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
342 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200-7700 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN.
CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.21 IN.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SUNDAY
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
UP TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY NIGHT
NOT AS COLD. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
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