012
FNUS53 KGRR 231944
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
344 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
..MILD AND DRY AIR EXPECTED ON THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE
DAY ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR RELATIVELY LIGHT WEST WINDS
ON THURSDAY WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS HIGH WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY...ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO APPROACH THE AREA.
HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE A BIT...AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
REMAIN THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING WHEN THE COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. THE CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THIS COLD FRONT DOES NOT LOOK TO BE
SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME.
MIZ037>039-043>045-240830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
344 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1400-1900 FT AGL. INLAND
4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
7800-8300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1200-1700 FT AGL. INLAND
3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
MIZ040-046-240830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
344 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200-9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
MIZ050-056-064-071-240830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
344 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1900-2400 FT AGL. INLAND
5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1200-1700 FT AGL. INLAND
3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4300-4800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
MIZ051-052-057>059-240830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
344 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200-9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
MIZ065>067-072>074-240830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
344 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
8 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
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