999  
FNUS53 KGRR 260706  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
306 AM EDT WED APR 26 2017  
   
..DRY MOST OF THE DAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP TODAY...BUT  
FOR THE MOST PART IT IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY DRY. TONIGHT  
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE.  
IT WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH TONIGHT.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-262015-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
306 AM EDT WED APR 26 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 55-60  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 11  
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5200-5700 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300, THEN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 52-57 INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 4  
DEGREES COOLER INLAND.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 2300-2800  
FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.78 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.34 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-262015-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
306 AM EDT WED APR 26 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-900 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.28 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.27 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-262015-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
306 AM EDT WED APR 26 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5100-5600 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300, THEN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
2900-3400 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.68 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
4600-5100 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.19 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-262015-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
306 AM EDT WED APR 26 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1800 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.55 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2100-2400 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.24 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-262015-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
306 AM EDT WED APR 26 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
27 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200-1600 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1000-1300 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.29 IN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1800-2100 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.14 IN.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
6 TO 11 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND  
40.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.  
 

 
 
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