218  
FNUS53 KGRR 210835  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
..THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THE SEASON  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THIS WEEKEND AND PRODUCE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.  
IN FACT DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE EARLY TO MIDDLE  
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK BEFORE A COOLER AIRMASS FINALLY MOVES IN FOR OUR  
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-212115-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...  
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
0100.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...1900-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300  
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 49-54  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 2  
PERCENT DRIER INLAND.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ040-046-212115-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN  
PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
0100.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-212115-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3600-4100 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
0100.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...500-1000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2000-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300  
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-212115-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...  
ST. JOHNS  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN  
PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
0100.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-212115-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...  
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON  
335 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
0100.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG UNTIL MIDDAY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS  
6 TO 11 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 30S.    
THANKSGIVING DAY  
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 30.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND  
40.  
 
 
 
LAURENS MEADE  
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