061  
FNUS73 KAPX 111422  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MARGRETHE...CRAWFORD COUNTY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
1022 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989) 732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RAMP UP CONSIDERABLY TODAY AS  
A WEAK FRONT DROPS INTO THE REGION, WITH THIS MOIST ENVIRONMENT  
CONTINUING WELL INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. THIS MOISTURE WILL  
BRING AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR MUCH NEEDED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW  
WITH REGARDS TO OVERALL COVERAGE OF ACTIVITY AND JUST HOW MUCH RAIN  
WILL BE REALIZED.  
 
A MUCH LESS ROBUST PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH  
MONDAY, RESULTING IN WIND SPEEDS MUCH LESS THAN THOSE OBSERVED ON  
SATURDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY WITH INCREASED  
CLOUDINESS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL BEGIN IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON, WITH BEST  
CHANCES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH  
EARLY EVENING HOURS.  
 
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT INCIDENT...MAX 83.  
RH..................56 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MIN 44 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 57 74 82 72 65 67  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............77 78 79 80 81 81 82  
RH..............56 56 56 54 53 54 53  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
SURFACE WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
 
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.  
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........74 70 69 52 40 30 37 48 59 66 78 85  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............82 82 82 80 78 75 74 72 71 70 68 67  
RH..............53 51 51 54 60 66 66 71 71 73 78 81  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.  
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........84 83 82 82 83 86  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 40 40  
TEMP............67 71 76 81 83 83  
RH..............81 73 64 56 55 57  
SURFACE WIND....SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 W 7 W 6  
SURFACE WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...TIM LOCKER  
REQUESTED BY...DOUG PRATT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 1710957.0/APX  
 
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