991  
FNUS73 KDTX 100943  
FWSDTX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RUSH LAKE OAK...MIDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
543 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
COOLER TODAY WITH ONSHORE WIND AND MIN RH VALUES  
FALLING INTO THE 30S. A STRAY LIGHT SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THIS  
EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARRIVE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH  
SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). INCREASING AFTERNOON CLOUDS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....POOR (MAX...43).  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 14 13 11 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............58 60 61 61 61  
RH..............47 42 38 38 38  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4  
SMOKE DISPER....42 50 50 38 31  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND  
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....POOR (MIN...18).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........9 28 41 57 60 71  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TEMP............60 58 51 49 47 47  
RH..............40 47 60 65 74 77  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE E SE S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...400 400 400 400 400 400  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3  
SMOKE DISPER....27 21 35 57 47 41  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO  
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....POOR (MAX...73).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........85 89 87 72  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TEMP............46 49 54 57  
RH..............85 83 73 62  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 6 N 6 N 10  
EYE LEVEL WIND..10 11 14 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 600 600  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
SMOKE DISPER....42 55 56 80  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...TILLEY  
REQUESTED BY...NATE STEARNS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2413632.0/DTX  
.DELDT 05/10/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEARNSN@MICHIGAN.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MI Page Main Text Page