673  
FNUS73 KMQT 090930  
FWSMQT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILD CARP RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI  
530 AM EDT FRI JUN 9 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
E TO NE WINDS WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW 10 MPH TODAY WITH  
MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 44 PERCENT. SKIES WILL STAY MOSTLY CLOUDY  
MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE CLEARING THIS EVENING. THERE ARE A FEW LIGHT  
RAIN SHOWERS NEAR THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS MORNING, AND ISOLATED  
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MOST OF THIS MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A  
VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THINK IT  
WILL BE DRY SO LEFT THOSE OUT OF THE FORECAST. SHOULD SEE EXCELLENT  
RH RECOVER AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT. SATURDAY WILL NOT BE ALL THAT  
DRY (MINIMUM RH AROUND 50 PERCENT), BUT S-SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO  
GUSTS OVER 30 MPH. NEXT GOOD CHANCE OF SUBSTANTIAL RAIN IS SUNDAY  
NIGHT, BUT THAT CAN'T BE GUARANTEED SINCE IT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON  
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 4 TO 9 MPH BY LATE  
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 MPH  
OR LESS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST UP TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHEAST UP TO 4 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (18) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (302).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1700 FT  
AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4300 FT AGL BY LATE  
MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........84 84 84 85 85 85 85 80 76 71 58 45  
WEATHER COV.....ISO SCT ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............56 58 60 62 64 65 66 67 68 69 69 68  
RH..............92 87 81 76 68 61 57 51 47 44 45 47  
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E NE NE NE  
33 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E EXT GOOD CHANCE OF SUBSTANTIAL RAI E NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4  
WIND GUST.......9 9 9 10 10 10 8 8 8  
VINDX KT-FT/100.18 78 168 265 251 213 196 222 246 302 261 246  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 13 10 8 7 7 7 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.1  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH LATE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 12  
MPH BY MIDNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL BY  
LATE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........32 32 33 33 33 34 34 37 39 42 45 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............66 62 57 53 51 49 48 48 47 47 48 50  
RH..............51 59 69 80 87 92 96 100 100 100 100 100  
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
33 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6  
WIND GUST....... 5 5 5  
VINDX KT-FT/100.178 99 37 8 0 2 10 11 14 20 36 63  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E S S S SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 8 9 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 33 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 13  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 46 TO 70  
MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (590) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1283).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM  
SKY (%).........50 59 59 48 28 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............56 63 70 75 77 77  
RH..............86 71 60 54 52 51  
33 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 13 S 17 S 17 SW 22  
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 10 S 14 S 14 SW 18  
WIND GUST.......10 10 20 31 31 33  
VINDX KT-FT/100.97 219 448 780 1185 1181  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SW 18 SW 28 SW 39 SW 53 SW 61  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1400 1900 2300 2600 2200  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 3 4 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...TITUS  
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1710690.2/MQT  
 
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