910  
FNUS73 KMQT 151113  
FWSMQT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SENEY WILDERNESS...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI  
713 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY SETTLE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE  
INTO TONIGHT. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING BEFORE  
CLEARING OUT THIS AFTERNOON. WITH ENOUGH SUNSHINE, TEMPERATURES WILL  
REACH NEAR 80 DEGREES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT LESS THAN 10 MPH FROM  
THE NORTH BUT MAY TRY TO SHIFT MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND  
SHIFT LOOKS TO BE RIGHT OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON SO THERE IS  
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON IF A PREVAILING WIND WILL DEVELOP. MINIMUM RH  
VALUES WILL BE 55-60 PERCENT. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL TOWARD  
60 DEGREES TONIGHT WITH MORE PATCHY FOG. CONDITIONS WILL BE SLIGHTLY  
WARMER ON THURSDAY UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG EARLY. MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LAL.................1.  
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT FORECAST START...MAX 79.  
RH..................91 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 56 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH  
DECREASING TO UP TO 5 MPH BY LATE MORNING, THEN  
BECOMING CALM BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND BECOMING EAST  
UP TO 5 MPH LATE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING CALM BY  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST UP TO 4 MPH LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE  
400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL  
BY LATE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 3400-5300  
FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1700 FT  
AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2300 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...FAIR /16000 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX  
3.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM  
SKY (%).........71 62 56 52 49 43  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............64 70 72 75 77 75  
RH..............91 75 65 57 57 59  
33 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 4 E 4 E 5  
20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 4 E 3 E 3 E 4  
WIND GUST....... 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1900 3700 5000 5300 3400  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 8 11 15 16 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE.  
LAL.................1.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.  
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO  
5 MPH LATE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO  
4 MPH LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM  
SKY (%).........34 39 45 51 59 58  
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............72 65 61 60 59 59  
RH..............67 77 82 81 83 87  
33 FT WIND......NE 8 NE 8 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5  
20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 4  
WIND GUST.......  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 BLW100 200 300 300 100  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 0 1 2 2 1  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LAL.................1.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.  
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING EAST 5 TO  
9 MPH BY LATE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING EAST UP  
TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST UP TO 6 MPH LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4600 FT AGL  
BY LATE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 4400-5300  
FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
1800-3200 FT AGL LATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1300-21800 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM  
SKY (%).........49 43 46 57 56 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............62 69 76 79 79 77  
RH..............88 78 66 61 60 64  
33 FT WIND......E 4 E 4 E 6 E 7 E 7 NE 8  
20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 E 5 E 6 E 6 NE 6  
WIND GUST.......4 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 3800 5200 5000 3200  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 7 11 16 20 19  
 

 
FORECASTER...JLA  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH HAEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1814390.8/MQT  
.DELDT 08/15/18  
 
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