082  
FNUS73 KMQT 092241  
FWSMQT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BONEYARD BURN PILE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI  
541 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER PENINSULA  
WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THIS HAPPENS, WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY ON  
THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH AND AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM  
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS, WINDS MAY  
GUST AS HIGH AS 25 MPH ACROSS THE BURN SITE FROM MID MORNING THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY. A LOW-LEVEL JET WILL ALSO BE PRESENT  
AROUND IGNITION TIME, WHICH MAY LEAD TO A FEW HIGHER GUSTS EARLY IN  
THE DAY. OTHERWISE, CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH LITTLE TO NO  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE NEXT  
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL OCCUR LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH  
THURSDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLIDES INTO THE  
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32 AT IGNITION...MAX 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 83 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 37 TO 45 MPH DECREASING TO 30 TO 33  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (525) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (770)  
DECREASING TO FAIR (166) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-2100 FT  
AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........90 88 87 86 85 87 89  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TEMP............32 34 34 34 34 35 34  
RH..............95 92 92 92 93 93 95  
33 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
33 FT WIND SPD..15 13 13 13 11 11 11  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 10 10 9 9 9  
WIND GUST.......20 18 18 18 14 14 14  
VINDX KT-FT/100.525 728 770 749 614 382 166  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.45 44 41 40 37 33 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.3 0.6  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 4  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE  
EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH THROUGH MID MORNING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (60).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........91 91 92 93 94 97 98 98 98 98 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............34 34 33 33 34 34 35 35 35 35 34 33  
RH..............98 99 100 100 96 92 90 91 94 96 96 95  
33 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
33 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4  
WIND GUST.......  
VINDX KT-FT/100.60 144 280 393 411 386 319 301 284 242 177 111  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 25 24 24 26 30 31 30 28 24 22 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. FREEZING RAIN WITH POSSIBLE RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLEET THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW  
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 32.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 79 PERCENT.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 7 TO  
12 MPH BY LATE MORNING.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 5 TO  
9 MPH BY LATE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO 21  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO  
25 TO 31 MPH LATE.  
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (502) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (813) LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3000 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.41 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........99 100 100 99 96 95  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....FZRAIN SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR  
TEMP............32 31 27 21 16 13  
RH..............94 94 92 87 81 80  
33 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 N 9 N 13 N 13 N 13  
20 FT WIND......W 4 W 4 N 7 N 10 N 10 N 10  
WIND GUST....... 8 13 13 13  
VINDX KT-FT/100.62 6 77 366 602 731  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 9 W 9 N 16 N 25 N 30  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 100 1000 2600 2700 2800  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...KEC  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE GOLL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1800247.0/MQT  
 
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