403  
FNUS73 KDLH 231415 AAA  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORWEGIAN POINT PRESCRIBED BURN...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
915 AM CDT MON OCT 23 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST...  
PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE BURN SITE THIS  
MORNING. WINDS WILL TURN FROM THE WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST BEHIND  
THE BOUNDARY AND WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH  
GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH. RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY THIS  
AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT. STRONG WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TO  
NORTH WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE  
STRENGTHENS OVER THE GREAT LAKES. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF LATE  
TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL ADVANCE  
EASTWARD ACROSS THE BURN SITE TUESDAY NIGHT AND TURNING WINDS FROM  
THE WEST AND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE  
ANTICIPATED FOR WEDNESDAY WITH WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FORECAST. BY  
WEDNESDAY EVENING THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO THE  
REGION. WINDS WILL TURN FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND THE CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS WILL INCREASE TOWARD SUNRISE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37800-54400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (76200-105000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............51 51 51 50 48  
RH..............71 71 71 71 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 10 10 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 18 22 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 25 30 30  
SDSPL KT-FT/100038 54 76 97 105  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE  
EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO  
NORTH. GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (111100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 43 42 39 38 37  
RH..............76 79 79 85 85 85  
20 FT WIND......NW 10 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 25 27 25 26 26  
MIX HGT (FT)....3900 3700 3200 3200 3300 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 30 N 35 N 35 N 35 N 35 N 35  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000109 109 102 102 104 109  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO  
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP  
TO 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (104500-133600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 35 34 38 41 42  
RH..............85 82 82 67 55 50  
20 FT WIND......N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 NW 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 25 26 26 24  
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3200 3200 3700 3900 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 35 N 40 N 40 N 40 N 40 N 35  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000106 106 108 126 131 124  
 

 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...LORI KARAU  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1717695.0/DLH  
.EMAIL LKARAU@FS.FED.US  
 
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