434  
FNUS73 KDLH 232355  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOMESTEAD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
655 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1900 CDT ON MAY 23.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST...  
PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOME SHOWERS ARE APPROACHING THE BRAINERD LAKES AREA AT THIS  
TIME. THUNDERSTORMS ARE A BIT FARTHER DOWNSTREAM NEAR ALEXANDRIA.  
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MOVE TOWARD  
THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE NIGHT. SURFACE WIND WILL BE SOUTHERLY  
THROUGH THE NIGHT, BECOMING GUSTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
NIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO  
FAIR (2400-21200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
TEMP............78 75 71 68 65 64 63 62 62 61 60  
RH..............56 62 71 78 87 93 97 100 97 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/100063 42 21 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
DAY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND  
10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN  
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5400 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2700-19200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR (29900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN  
THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103400  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (149300-180300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (114700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
TEMP............60 65 75 81 84 84  
RH..............100 93 69 56 49 48  
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 11 15 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 800 2000 5400 7400 8000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 S 15 S 20 SW 25 S 25  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 11 30 103 165 180  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40  
PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (54500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (4400  
KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
TEMP............79 71 67 63  
RH..............50 67 82 88  
20 FT WIND......S 10G12 S 10G11 S 5G9 S 5G6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 20 S 15 S 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/100055 4 4 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(254000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC  
TEMP............62 71 82 85  
RH..............92 78 53 41  
20 FT WIND......SW 5G6 SW 5G7 W 10G11 W 10G13  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 3500 7500 9800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 15 W 20 W 30  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 48 143 234  
 

 
FORECASTER...GREG  
REQUESTED BY...BACKE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1810589.0/DLH  
.EMAIL JAMESBURKE@FS.FED.US  
 
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