837  
FXUS63 KFGF 250820  
AFDFGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND  
320 AM CDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
 
CLOUD TRENDS AND FOG WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES. AS OF  
EARLY THIS MORNING LOW CLOUDS BORDERED NEARLY ALL SIDES OF THE FA.  
HOWEVER, THE LOW CLOUDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE MOVING ALL THAT MUCH  
YET. THE CLEAR SKIES OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY HAVE ALSO RESULTED  
IN SOME SPOTTY FOG AT FARGO. UNLESS MORE SITES START TO REPORT  
FOG, WILL LEAVE IT OUT OF THE MORNING FORECAST. THE CLOUDS WILL  
ALSO PLAY SOMEWHAT INTO THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST, BUT REALLY DO  
NOT HAVE A GOOD FEEL FOR HOW THE LOW CLOUDS WILL EVOLVE TODAY.  
HOWEVER, THERE ARE ALSO HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE  
WEST, SO A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS IS LIKELY TODAY. 850MB TEMPS  
RISE A FEW DEGREES TODAY, BUT THE SOUTH WINDS EXPECTED ARE NOT  
ALL THAT FAVORABLE FOR WARMING. THE SOUTH WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME A  
LITTLE GUSTY BY AFTERNOON. THE SFC PATTERN CONTINUES TO LOOK WEAK  
AGAIN TONIGHT, SO WILL HAVE THE SAME CHALLENGES THEN TOO.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)  
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
 
THE OVERALL WEAK SURFACE PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND AND  
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PCPN ARRIVES ACROSS THE  
WESTERN FA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT, AND LOOKS MINIMAL IF ANYTHING AT  
ALL. SOME OF THIS LIGHT PCPN REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO SUNDAY  
MORNING, THEN DRY AGAIN FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
A QUIET AND SEASONABLY MILD STRETCH REMAINS IN STORE FOR A GOOD PART  
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. THE UPPER AIR PATTERN STILL DEPICTS A WELL  
DEFINED SPLIT FLOW WITH SOUTHERN BRANCH SHOWING MOST OF THE ACTION  
AS LOW CLOSES OFF VCNTY SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WED AND HEADS TOWARD  
LOWER MS VALLEY THU. MEANWHILE A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL TRANSIT THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS DURING THE MID WEEK PERIOD WHERE WE'VE KEPT CHC POPS  
(WITH SOME LKLY OVER DVL REGION) IN FORM OF OVERNIGHT WINTRY MIX  
AND DAYTIME RAIN. TEMPS WILL FEATURE HIGHS FROM THE MID 40S TO MID  
50S WITH LOWS NEAR OR A SHADE ABOVE FREEZING.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017  
 
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CIGS WAS ROUGHLY WEST OF A LINE FROM  
WEST OF GWINNER TO EAST OF LANGDON ND. CLOUD DECK WAS MOVING TO  
THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. ANOTHER MVFR CLOUD DECK WITH CIG  
AROUND 25 HUNDRED FT WAS EAST OF A LINE FROM BDE TO ELBOW LAKE MN.  
THE CLOUD DECK WAS INCHING EAST UNDER 5 KNOTS. EXPECT MVFR TO IFR  
CONDITIONS MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN ZONES OVERNIGHT. CLOUD OVER  
EASTERN MN WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO BURN  
OFF BY LATE SAT MORNING.  
 

 
   
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
ND...NONE.  
MN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...GODON  
LONG TERM...WJB/GODON  
AVIATION...JH  
 
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