770  
FNUS73 KEAX 241402  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MINE CREEK ROCKY PRAIRIE...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
902 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE LOW TODAY. LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE EAST (5-10 MPH)  
ARE ANTICIPATED. RH VALUES BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE,  
BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 42 22 15 22 17 13 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 65 68 69 71 72 72 73  
RH..............46 40 34 35 32 31 30 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 12 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.7 4.4 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 9 8 7 7 8  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT INCREASING TO 12 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 22 34 55 51 69 64 77 77 73 81 76  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............71 71 67 62 60 59 58 57 57 55 54 54  
RH..............31 32 37 44 49 53 55 57 59 64 69 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 9 10 10 10 12 13 13 12 13  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT INCREASING TO 72 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20  
TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 28  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 74 73 86 84 89 89 89 89 90 90 91  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70  
TEMP............53 52 54 55 58 59 60 60 61 61 62 62  
RH..............77 83 83 83 75 75 76 78 76 77 75 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 15 16 17 17 17 18 20 21 22 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 18 22 24 25 26 28 28 29 31 32 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 21 22 23 23 24 25 28 28 26  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...PESEL  
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412263.0/EAX  
.DELDT 04/24/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DEON_STEINLE@FWS.GOV  
 
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