576  
FNUS73 KEAX 241442  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ISLAND PRAIRIE AND LONE 20...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
942 AM CDT TUE APR 24 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE  
NORTH AROUND 10 MPH THE REST OF TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
WILL BE AROUND 50 PERCENT AT IGNITION BUT FALL TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT  
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE  
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7100 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 4 8 10 15 24 28 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 66 69 72 73 73 74 73  
RH..............50 43 37 33 31 31 30 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 5.0 6.0 6.7 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 16 15 14 13 12  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 64 64 64 64 63 61 60 66 79 85 89  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 70 67 64 61 59 56 54 54 53 53 53  
RH..............36 41 45 50 56 60 66 74 71 74 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.4 5.6 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 14 15 17 18 20 20 17 16 14  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT INCREASING TO 41 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2900 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........96 91 91 92 93 94 96 96 96 97 97 95  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............53 53 54 57 58 59 59 59 59 59 59 58  
RH..............77 74 74 67 67 64 67 67 67 69 69 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 8 7 6 5 5 3 3 5 6  
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...MELL  
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1807622.0/EAX  
.DELDT 04/24/18  
.EMAIL DEON_STEINLE@FWS.GOV  
 
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