483
FXUS63 KPAH 270932
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
331 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO OUR SOUTH WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND A
GRADUAL RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS. TEMPS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE
NEAR SEASONAL...THEN BY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT TEMPS WILL BE
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE
WEST SATURDAY NIGHT. NAM...GFS AND ECMWF ALL INDICATE LIGHT PRECIP
SPREADING ACROSS THE QUAD STATE SUNDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF
PRECIP LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. GFS IS FASTEST OF THE
THREE...WITH PRECIP OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z. NAM AND ECMWF ARE A
LITTLE SLOWER...LINGERING SOME PRECIP INTO MONDAY MORNING. WENT
WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS WEST TO LOW CHANCE POPS EAST SUNDAY...THEN
LIKELY WEST TO CATEGORICAL EAST SUNDAY NIGHT. SHRUNK POPS MONDAY
MORNING TO SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE FOR OUR EASTERN COUNTIES...AND
REMOVED POPS MONDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS INDICATE NEXT SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT OUR REGION WEDNESDAY.
FOR NEAR TERM TEMPS...MAV AND MET ARE WITHIN A COUPLE OF
DEGREES...AND STUCK PRETTY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE HIGHS...BUT LEANED
TOWARD THE SLIGHTLY WARMER MET LOWS. FOR EXTENDED TEMPS...WENT
CLOSE TO LATEST MEX TEMPS...WHICH ONLY REQUIRED SOME MINOR TWEAKS.
AVIATION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGHOUT
THE TAF PERIOD.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
PUBLIC...RST
AVIATION...GM
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