024  
FNUS74 KMEG 031017  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE MOUNTAIN OVERLOOK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
517 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4200 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...640-1219 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 1067-1280  
METERS AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 7 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 40 42 43 45 47 49 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 80 83 84 85 86 86 86  
DEWPOINT........60 60 59 59 59 58 58 58  
RH..............54 50 45 43 41 39 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 12 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 21 22 22 20 18 17  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 9 10 10 9 8 8  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...579-975 METERS AGL DECREASING TO 122-335 METERS  
AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 51 50 50 49 49 48 48 51 54 57 62  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............85 82 79 76 74 72 71 69 68 68 67 66  
DEWPOINT........59 59 59 59 59 59 60 60 60 61 61 61  
RH..............41 46 50 56 59 64 67 73 76 77 81 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 8 7 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 15 14 13 14 15 16 15 15 14 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 7  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............63.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...366-945 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 1006-1128  
METERS AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........66 66 75 86  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30  
TEMP............66 72 78 81  
DEWPOINT........61 62 64 65  
RH..............84 72 61 58  
20 FT WIND......SW 7G10 SW 7G10 SW 8G10 SW 7G10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1700 3100 3700  
MIX HGT (M).....370 520 940 1130  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 14 SW 10 SW 12  
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 SW 6 SW 4 SW 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...SIRMON  
REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1808732.0/MEG  
.DELDT 05/03/18  
 
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