946  
FNUS74 KMEG 221244  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 29...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
744 AM CDT WED MAR 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL  
DISTURBANCE MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE COOLER TODAY  
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S NORTH TO THE 60S SOUTH. A WARM  
FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS  
RISING BACK INTO THE 70S AND MAINLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).1000-2800 FT MSL INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT MSL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...305-853 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 640-914 METERS  
AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........83 85 86 83 79 76 76 76 76 75  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............59 59 61 62 64 65 66 67 67 67  
RH..............67 64 58 56 50 48 45 42 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.1  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.0 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 18 17 16 14 14 13 13 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).100-1300 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...30-396 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO  
AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........74 74 70 67 63 62 61 60 59 57 56 59  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 63 60 58 56 55 54 52 52 50 50 49  
RH..............40 44 47 51 53 55 54 59 59 63 63 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 9 7 5 3  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 6 6 6 5 4 3 2 1  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).100-1400 FT MSL INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...30-427 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 945-1341 METERS  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 TO 15  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 1 TO 5 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
6 TO 7 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........63 61 53 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10  
TEMP............49 54 67 73  
RH..............68 64 52 48  
20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 7G10 SE 8G15 S 9G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 900 2800 4400  
MX HT MSL (FT)..100 900 2800 4400  
MIX HGT (M).....30 270 850 1340  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 3 SE 12 SE 14 S 15  
TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 1 SE 5 SE 6 S 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHASKELSON  
REQUESTED BY...GOYINGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1704884.0/MEG  
 
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