514
FXUS64 KLIX 240310
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1010 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
UPDATE
UPDATED GRIDS TO DECREASE RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT. RADAR SHOWS MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA IS RAIN FREE. SOME DRY AIR LAYERS RETURNED TO
THE KLIX 00Z SOUNDING MAKING THE AIRMASS LESS TROPICAL THEN THE
PREVIOUS 24 HOURS OR SO. CONTINUED CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE OUTER
FRINGE OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY AND DEEPER MOISTURE MAY CAUSE SOME
REDEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
WESTERN COASTAL WATERS AND ADJACENT NEAR SHORE AREAS...OTHERWISE...
THERE IS LITTLE SUPPORT FOR ANY MENTION OF PRECIP IN OTHER AREAS
THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. NEW ORLEANS AND BATON ROUGE ARE WITHIN
ONE DEGREE OF THEIR FORECAST LOWS...AND SINCE CLOUDS SHOULD
DECREASE SOMEWHAT WILL LOWER THE FORECAST LOWS A COUPLE DEGREES IN
THESE AREAS.
AVIATION
MOSTLY VFR WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS. SHRA/TSRA
CHANCES ARE LOWER THURSDAY...SO HAVE OPTED T0 LEAVE MENTION OUT OF
THE TAFS FOR NOW.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 249 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008/
DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON HURRICANE DOLLY WAS PUSHING INTO THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST NEAR BROWNSVILLE. AN EXTREME OUTERBAND GAVE
PARTS OF THE NEW ORLEANS METRO HEAVY RAINS THIS MORNING...HELPING
TO KEEP TEMPS IN THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. PRECIP WATER VALUES WERE OVER 2 INCHES IN THE AREA.
THERE REMAINS A CHANCE FOR SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAINS TO PUSH
ACROSS OUR PCWA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE MOST OF THE ACTIVITY PUSHES
TO THE WEST. A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL RISE CLOSER
TO CLIMO BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
MARINE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN POSTED MAINLY FOR SEA HEIGHTS
FOR THE GULF WATERS WEST OF THE MISS RIVER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 71 92 72 95 / 10 30 20 20
BTR 74 92 74 95 / 20 40 20 20
MSY 76 92 75 93 / 20 30 20 20
GPT 76 91 75 93 / 20 30 20 20
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR GMZ550.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR GMZ570.
MS...NONE.
GM...
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