086  
FNUS52 KILM 222005  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE THIS EVENING,  
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS ACROSS FLORIDA LATE THURSDAY AND REMAIN  
OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS. ONLY LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.  
SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY  
NEXT WEEK, AS A SERIES OF MAINLY DRY COLD FRONTS SWEEP ACROSS THE  
FORECAST AREA AND OFF THE COAST.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...5SM OR LESS: NONE  
 
NCZ105>110-231215-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT THANKSGIVING THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 55 36 59  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 7 NE 6 NE 4 NE 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) N 8 NE 6 NE 4 NE 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
INVERSION 1800 48/1000 1800 50/1000  
DISPERSION GOOD POOR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 85 39 94 45  
DSI 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2550 1950  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 E 10  
VENTILATION RATE 22950 19500  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR 3 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR 3 VERY POOR 24 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 6 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ096-099-231215-  
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO, WHITEVILLE,  
TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT THANKSGIVING THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 54 34 58  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 6 NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 1800 45/1000 1800 49/1000  
DISPERSION FAIR VERY POOR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 81 44 89 46  
DSI 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2410 2050  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 E 9  
VENTILATION RATE 19280 18450  
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 21 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 23 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 23 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR, COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
76 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-231215-  
ROBESON-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF LUMBERTON  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT THANKSGIVING THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 54 32 58  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 NE 6 NE 3 NE 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 5 NE 3 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 1800 46/1000 1800 48/1000  
DISPERSION FAIR VERY POOR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 82 42 92 44  
DSI 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2450 2140  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 E 9  
VENTILATION RATE 19600 19260  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 24 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 23 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 27 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 7 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR, COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ053>056-231215-  
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,  
AND MURRELLS INLET  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT THANKSGIVING THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 55 38 60  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 NE 7 NE 5 NE 7  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) N 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
INVERSION 1800 49/1000 1800 51/1000  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 87 43 95 46  
DSI 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2040 1990  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 E 10  
VENTILATION RATE 20400 19900  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR 4 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 7 POOR 22 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 23 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ032-033-039-231215-  
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS, AND KINGSTREE  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT THANKSGIVING THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 55 36 59  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 NE 6 NE 4 NE 5  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 6 NE 6 NE 4 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
INVERSION 1800 48/1000 1800 49/1000  
DISPERSION FAIR POOR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 83 45 86 47  
DSI 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2260 2010  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 E 9  
VENTILATION RATE 20340 18090  
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 22 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 7 POOR 24 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 25 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-231215-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON  
305 PM EST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT THANKSGIVING THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 55 33 58  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 NE 6 NE 3 NE 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 6 NE 5 NE 3 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 1800 47/1000 1800 48/1000  
DISPERSION FAIR VERY POOR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 80 41 91 45  
DSI 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2440 2190  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 E 9  
VENTILATION RATE 19520 19710  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 25 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 24 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 25 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR, COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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