657
FNUS52 KILM 221013
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
513 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
DISCUSSION
A CHILLY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TODAY AND PERSIST INTO
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL REDEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY UP ALONG THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST OVERNIGHT AND THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON MONDAY.
THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN ACCELERATE...REACHING CAPE
COD BY TUESDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE ON
THURSDAY BRINGING STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE...
TYPE 1-F. MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 1300 FT AGL. DIRECTION NE. SPEED 25 MPH.
NCZ097-100-101-230215-
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...
WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH
513 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 100 90
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 51 60
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 9 NE 10 NE 10 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 8 NE 10 NE 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.80 0.19
PRECIP DURATION 4 12 6
INVERSION 55/1100 1700 CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 99 89
DSI 1 1
HAINES INDEX 4 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2230 710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 12 N 12
VENTILATION RATE 26760 8520
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 22 FAIR 15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 28 FAIR 15 GEN POOR 12 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 8 7
MAX LVORI LATE 4 9 8
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THANKSGIVING DAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-230215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
513 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 100 80
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 49 58
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 8 NE 9 NE 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 8 NE 9 N 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.76 0.18
PRECIP DURATION 4 12 4
INVERSION 52/1100 1700 CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%) 63 98 88
DSI 1 1
HAINES INDEX 4 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1980 640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 NE 12
VENTILATION RATE 25740 7680
ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 22 FAIR 20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 5
MAX LVORI LATE 4 9 5
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THANKSGIVING DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ034-046-230215-
HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
513 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 80
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 50 60
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 9 NE 11 NE 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 9 NE 10 N 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.27 0.89 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 6 12 4
INVERSION 52/1100 1700 CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%) 68 100 90
DSI 1 1
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1780 720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 NE 12
VENTILATION RATE 23140 8640
ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 27 FAIR 14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 14 GEN POOR 13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 8
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 7
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THANKSGIVING DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ032-033-039-230215-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
513 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 80
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 49 58
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 8 NE 10 NE 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 9 NE 9 N 4
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.38 0.80 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 6 12 4
INVERSION 51/1100 1700 CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%) 73 98 90
DSI 1 1
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1790 740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 N 7
VENTILATION RATE 28640 5180
ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 27 FAIR 16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 29 FAIR 16 GEN POOR 15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 8 6
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THANKSGIVING DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-230215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
513 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 70
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 48 57
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 7 NE 10 NE 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 8 NE 9 N 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.30 0.75 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 5 12 4
INVERSION 51/1100 1700 CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%) 66 97 89
DSI 1 1
HAINES INDEX 4 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1910 710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 NE 9
VENTILATION RATE 26740 6390
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 25 FAIR 20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 28 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 5
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THANKSGIVING DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
RJD
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