078  
FNUS71 KAKQ 231713  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLE ISLE STATE PARK RX BURN...VA DCR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
113 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FULL SUNSHINE FOR THE REST OF TODAY WITH SOUTH WINDS GUSTING  
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH AT TIMES. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
WILL LOWER TO AROUND 25 PERCENT DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON  
HOURS. THERE IS AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT  
UNTIL 7 PM EDT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (76100 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................AROUND 100 THIS AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 8 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 69 70 70 70  
RH..............28 28 27 27 26  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.9 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 15 16  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............80 90 100 100 100  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..69 72 77 87 89  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD  
 

 
FORECASTER...MCGEE  
REQUESTED BY...KERRY ONEILL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411999.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 04/23/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KERRY.ONEILL@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
 
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