290
FNUS72 KMHX 220814
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR EVANS ROAD FIRE...FLORIDA IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
414 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2025 EDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER TODAY...KEEPING HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
AND STALL AND WEAKEN NEAR OR JUST WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE ATLANTIC LOOKS TO
DOMINATE OVER THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER FRONT MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS
NORTH CAROLINA.
BASED ON RH DATA FROM THE RAWS SITES MONDAY, I HAVE ADJUSTED UPWARD THE
MINIMUM RH FOR TODAY FROM 35% TO 42%. ALTHOUGH THE CHANCES FOR RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON ARE SMALL ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. ON WEDNESDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
INITIALLY ON LOCAL SEA BREEZES DURING THE AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NC
LATE. THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AN INCH OR MORE OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........19 20 23 27 30 32
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............80 80 88 95 97 98
RH..............84 90 67 48 42 44
20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 4 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........34 35 39 43 47 51
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............94 88 85 82 81 80
RH..............50 60 75 85 86 86
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30
MPH LATE.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........56 60 59 58 57 60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78 80 85 89 91 91
RH..............90 87 78 63 52 50
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 7 S 7 S 9 S 11 S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 20
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20080721.EVANS.01/MHX
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page