194
FNUS72 KMHX 171158
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR HIBBS ROAD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
658 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 EST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO OUR NORTH. A COASTAL
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL AFFECT THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF THE COAST. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIFT
ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........FOG THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY. INCREASING
CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH 10 AM...THEN BECOMING
NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3700 FT
AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH.
TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).............22 30 38 44 48 55
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP................47 53 62 66 67 65
RH..................100 95 72 63 61 68
20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 3 NE 6 NE 9 NE 12 NE 13 NE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 15
HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).............58 61 66 71 74 80
WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN
TEMP................63 61 59 59 58 57
RH..................73 80 87 90 93 97
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 13 NE 13 NE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15
HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 4 4
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-3500 FT
AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 24 MPH.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).............86 88 91 93 94 95
WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................57 58 64 67 69 68
RH..................100 97 80 74 70 71
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 13 NE 13 E 13 E 12 E 12 E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15
HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...JAMISON
REQUESTED BY...CROATAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091117.HIBBS.01/MHX
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