366  
FNUS72 KMHX 061217  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MARINERS PARK WILDFIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
817 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL EXTEND WEST ACROSS THE  
REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE  
NATE ARE FORECAST TO PASS NORTHWEST OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT  
WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 33350 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 9.  
ADI.................MAX 33.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)............9 12 14 15 31 32 32 35 40  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............69 72 75 76 77 78 78 78 77  
RH.................93 87 79 76 76 74 74 74 76  
20 FT WIND DIR.....E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD.....5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.... 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)......1.4 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR....E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD....7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
LVORI..............6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI................5 9 15 22 28 33 32 30 29  
HAINES INDEX.......3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..4 8 12 19 26 33 31 29 27  
STABILITY CLASS....F F F B B B B B B  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY, THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 2875 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 8.  
ADI.................MIN 6.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)............41 43 44 42 39 37 41 48 51 51 51 51  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............76 74 72 71 71 70 70 69 69 69 68 68  
RH.................79 84 90 93 90 93 93 93 93 93 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR.....E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD.....7 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST....10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)......1.9 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD....10 10 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 15  
LVORI..............3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 7  
ADI................25 10 8 8 6 6 9 9 9 10 10 10  
HAINES INDEX.......3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..20 12 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
STABILITY CLASS....B B B B B B F F E E E E  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 59799 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 7.  
ADI.................MAX 63.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%)............53 59 56 50 47 46  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............68 68 73 77 78 78  
RH.................100 100 93 82 79 79  
20 FT WIND.........SE 6 SE 5 SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.... 10 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT).......1000 1000 1700 2400 3100 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND.....SE 15 SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 S 18 S 20  
LVORI..............7 7 4 3 3 3  
ADI................10 11 35 53 60 62  
HAINES INDEX.......4 4 4 4 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..4 4 28 47 58 59  
STABILITY CLASS....E E E B B B  
 

 
FORECASTER...FREDERICK  
REQUESTED BY...BRENT TOLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1716834.0/MHX  
.EMAIL BRENT.TOLER@NCAGR.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page