052  
FNUS72 KMHX 261224  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SO...USMC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
824 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE CAROLINAS FROM THE  
NORTHEAST TODAY, AND WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL WHILE SLIDING  
OFFSHORE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
NORTHEAST TO EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS.  
MIN RHS DIP TO 45-50% THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THIS MORNING, BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH, BECOMING EAST THIS AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 51059 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 6.  
ADI.................MAX 62.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.20 TO 30.30 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 65 52 42 38 32 32 32 29  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............58 63 67 68 71 72 72 71 70  
RH..............81 75 65 63 55 50 51 55 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 14 14 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13 13 12 12 13 14  
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............31 34 34 43 54 54 56 60 62  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.25 27 29 35 45 45 47 50 51  
SFC PRES (IN)...027 029 030 030 030 030 029 029 029  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 4370 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 7.  
ADI.................MIN 5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.29 TO 30.38 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........22 18 14 19 24 25 21 17 16 17 21 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............68 66 63 61 60 58 57 57 56 56 55 55  
RH..............61 65 72 78 81 86 90 90 93 93 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST. 14 14 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 13 13 14 14 14 12 12 10 10 10  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7  
ADI.............51 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.41 26 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 4  
SFC PRES (IN)...029 030 032 034 036 038 038 037 037 036 037 037  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 51289 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 7.  
ADI.................MAX 60.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.38 TO 30.43 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........25 30 19 14 41 43  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............55 58 66 70 72 71  
RH..............96 90 70 59 51 51  
20 FT WIND......NE 4 NE 4 E 6 E 7 E 8 SE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 9 9 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 3000 3900 4500 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 E 10 E 13 E 13 E 12 E 12  
LVORI...........7 5 3 1 1 1  
ADI.............5 10 47 59 60 52  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 8 38 49 51 43  
SFC PRES (IN)...30.38 30.40 30.42 30.42 30.40 30.38  
 

 
FORECASTER...DAIL  
REQUESTED BY...BARRETT BAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412552.0/MHX  
.DELDT 04/26/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NORTON.BAKER@USMC.MIL  
 
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