894
FGUS73 KFGF 040855
ESFFGF
MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-069-077-087-107-111-113-119-125-
135-159-167-NDC003-005-017-019-027-035-039-063-067-071-073-
077-081-091-095-097-099-201200-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
0821 AM CDT MONDAY JUNE 06/29/09 2009
..LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOK BY FLOOD CATEGORY
THIS HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK GIVES THE LONG RANGE CHANCES FOR
EXCEEDING MINOR...MODERATE...AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES FOR THE
RIVER LOCATIONS MENTIONED.
. RED RIVER BASIN
. LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
. VALID JUNE 29, 2009 - SEPTEMBER 27, 2009
OUTLOOK FLOOD PERCENT DEPARTURE FROM
LOCATION STAGES* MINOR MOD MAJOR NORMAL @ FS
-------- -------- ----- --- ----- --------
MAINSTEM RED RIVER...
WAHPETON, ND 10/12/14 46% 22% 3% +16%
FARGO, ND 18/25/30 55% 19% 8% +24%
HILLSBORO, ND 26/32/40 17% 5% <1% +11%
GRAND FORKS, ND 28/40/46 36% 1% <1% +12%
OSLO, MN 26/30/36 29% 17% <1% + 7%
DRAYTON, ND 32/38/42 17% 1% <1% + 6%
PEMBINA, ND 42/47/52 6% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES...
SABIN 12/15/19 51% 12% <1% +32%
HAWLEY 7/9/11 19% 8% 5% + 8%
DILWORTH 12/20/26 51% 13% <1% +24%
TWIN VALLEY 10/12/14 1% <1% <1% NOT AVAILABLE
HENDRUM 20/28/32 24% 1% <1% + 6%
CLIMAX 20/25/30 3% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
SHELLY 14/20/23 1% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
HIGH LANDING 12/12.5/13 1% 1% 1% NEAR NORMAL
CROOKSTON 15/23/25 15% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
WARREN 845/848/853 3% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
ALVARADO 106/108/110 3% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
HALLOCK 802/806/810 24% 8% <1% + 6%
ROSEAU 16/18/19 3% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
NORTH DAKOTA TRIBUTARIES...
ABERCROMBIE 10/12/18 29% 17% 13% +20%
VALLEY CITY 15/16/17 1% 1% 1% NEAR NORMAL
LISBON 15/17/19 3% 3% <1% NEAR NORMAL
KINDRED 16/20/22 6% 5% <1% NEAR NORMAL
HARWOOD 884/886/891 6% 3% 1% NEAR NORMAL
WEST FARGO 18/20/21 6% 6% 1% NEAR NORMAL
ENDERLIN 9.5/12/14 5% 5% <1% NEAR NORMAL
MAPLETON 905/908/910 6% 3% <1% NEAR NORMAL
HILLSBORO 10/13/16 5% 3% <1% NEAR NORMAL
MINTO 6/8/11 1% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
GRAFTON 12/13.5/14.5 1% <1% <1% NEAR NORMAL
WALHALLA 11/16/18 <1% <1% <1% NOT AVAILABLE
NECHE 18/19/21.5 <1% <1% <1% NOT AVAILABLE
* MINOR/MODERATE/MAJOR FLOOD STAGE
THE AHPS LONG RANGE PROBABALISTIC OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED EACH MONTH
TYPICALLY BETWEEN THE FIRST AND SECOND FRIDAY AFTER MID-MONTH.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NWS GRAND FORKS AHPS WEB PAGE
ON THE INTERNET AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS
THEN CLICK ON THE "RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS" LINK IN THE LEFT MENU.
CURRENT RIVER CONDITIONS FOR ALL RIVER FORECAST POINTS IN THE RED
RIVER OF THE NORTH AND DEVILS/STUMP LAKE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB SITE...AS WELL AS THE 7-DAY FORECASTS WHEN
THE RIVER AT THE FORECAST POINT IS IN OR NEAR FLOOD.
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS...CONTACT THE NWS AT 701-772-0720.
TEAM FGF
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