795
FNUS73 KBIS 141057
FWSBIS
SPOT FORECAST FOR DALLMAN WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
557 AM CDT SUN APR 14 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOOK FOR SUNNY SKIES TODAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE BURN SITE. THIS MORNING WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
AND VARIABLE, WITH A LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FAVORED AFTER 9 AM AS THE
INVERSION BEGINS TO LIFT. THIS AFTERNOON A NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND MAY INCREASE
TO 5 TO 10 MPH. EVENTUALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT, WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH. WITH HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY
OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY, ANY TERRAIN OR LOCAL LAND WATER BREEZES COULD INFLUENCE
WIND DIRECTION. THE HIGH TODAY WILL BE AROUND 70 WITH A MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF AROUND
20 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL INCREASE FROM POOR THIS MORNING TO FAIR BY
THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (46700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 2 4 3 3 5 8 15 25 32 25 23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............40 38 41 47 54 58 61 64 66 67 68 68
RH..............79 82 76 65 51 39 32 28 24 23 22 22
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 2 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.1 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.9 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 6 7 8 9 10 9 7 7 7
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
DISPR KT-FT/1K..3 2 2 2 8 18 32 47 44 34 35 35
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 14 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0100, THEN 2.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 16
TO 21 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........33 36 52 60
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 50
LAL.............1 1 1 2
TEMP............69 58 51 48
RH..............22 38 48 54
20 FT WIND......E 4G6 E 7G10 E 9G14 E 11G19
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 500 500 600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 E 12 E 16 E 20
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 3
DISPR KT-FT/1K..27 5 6 10
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1600, THEN 1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 33 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 32
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (90100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........50 72 77 75
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 40
LAL.............2 2 2 2
TEMP............46 48 57 63
RH..............60 58 45 38
20 FT WIND......E 15G24 SE 21G31 SE 23G32 SE 24G32
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1400 2300 3000
TRANSPORT WIND..E 22 SE 29 SE 31 SE 32
HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 3
DISPR KT-FT/1K..14 35 62 84
FORECASTER...HAMILTON
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN MIRELES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410690.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTING_MIRELES@FWS.GOV
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