908  
FNUS54 KMAF 171922  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
222 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS  
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ABOVE NORMAL. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH WILL  
BE 25 PERCENT OR MORE WITH GOOD RECOVERY AT NIGHT. 20FT WIND SPEEDS  
WILL BE IN THE 5 TO 15 MPH RANGE. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
EACH AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN... GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WIND SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH ANY STORM. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED  
LATE SUNDAY/EARLY MONDAY.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-181630-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
122 PM MDT FRI AUG 17 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...65 TO 70  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...55-75 PERCENT  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...87 TO 92  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...25-35 PERCENT  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/136000 KNOT-FT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...66 TO 71  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 6000  
FEET...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...89 TO 94  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/149000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80 ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE MID 80S  
BELOW 6000 FEET. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET...  
SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-181630-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
122 PM MDT FRI AUG 17 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 16 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....92 TO 97.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-181630-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
222 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2018 /122 PM MDT FRI AUG 17 2018/  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
UPPER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...45-65  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND  
104 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20-25  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/94900 KNOT-FT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE UPPER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...60  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND  
104 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20-25  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 5000  
FEET...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/133700 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
IN  
THE UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-181630-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
222 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 17 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/148000 KNOT-FT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 70S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab NM Page Main Text Page