584  
FNUS54 KMAF 192014  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
314 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WARMING TREND IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A RETURN TO  
TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS MUCH  
OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHIFTING EAST AND  
NORTH EACH DAY. RH RECOVERY WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT WHILE  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 10-25 PERCENT RANGE  
WEDNESDAY, WITH READINGS FALLING INTO THE 5-15 PERCENT RANGE BY  
SATURDAY.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-201615-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
214 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....64 TO 69.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH ABOVE 6000  
FEET...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...90 TO 95  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 19 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/143000 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...64 TO 69  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...45-65 PERCENT  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...88 TO 93  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET...EAST  
10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/71000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
IN THE UPPER  
90S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
AROUND  
100 BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
IN THE MID  
90S BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-201615-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
214 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....93 TO 98.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 23 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/143000 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....67 TO 72.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13100 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/77800 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 103. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 104. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 101. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-201615-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
314 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018 /214 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018/  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
MID 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...65-85  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90 TO 95 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...101 TO 106  
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20-30  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 5000 FEET, WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. BELOW  
5000 FEET, NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/145300 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
MID 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...60-80  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 92 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND 102  
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13300 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 24 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
AROUND  
106 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
 
AROUND 110 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
AROUND  
106 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET...  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT  
OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-201615-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
314 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....95 TO 100.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH AROUND 30 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/87300 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/143500 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 103. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 106. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 102. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
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