968  
FNUS74 KMAF 140134  
FWSMAF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK PILE...LINCOLN NF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
834 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2000 MDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOIST, EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY, UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY,  
WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FRIDAY AND  
SATURDAY, AND MINIMUM RHS ABOVE 20% EACH AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A  
GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE  
REGION. BUT A DRYING TREND WILL SET IN SATURDAY AND TEMPERATURES  
WILL BEGIN TO RISE TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-6500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50  
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3  
TEMP............59 59 61 64 68 72  
RH..............90 83 75 67 57 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 8 12 14  
20 FT WIND GUST. 15 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 2000 3100 4600 5800 6500  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 17 20 21  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0100, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0  
LAL.............2 2 1 1  
TEMP............73 68 65 61  
RH..............48 57 65 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 13 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 19 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....5900 BLW100 500 BLW100  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 12 10  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............61 65 74 79  
RH..............75 63 44 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 11 13  
20 FT WIND GUST. 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 4100 7100 9000  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 13 14  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...LYSTER  
REQUESTED BY...DAVIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1712698.0/MAF  
 
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