217  
FNUS74 KMAF 231305  
FWSMAF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FORREST LEE...BLM NM-CAD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
805 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MDT ON JULY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING  
WITH NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH BEHIND IT, AND PERHAPS A FEW  
HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL THEN COME FROM THE EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING, BEFORE BACKING TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES  
WILL BE NEARLY AS HOT AS PREVIOUS DAYS BEHIND THE FRONT, AND RHS IN THE  
LOW TEENS. RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR AS IT WILL STAY DRY UNTIL TUESDAY  
NIGHT WHEN RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE UPPER 90S, WHILE MINIMUM RHS WILL DROP TO  
AROUND 22%.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 102.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH, WITH A FEW HIGHER  
GUSTS. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST THIS  
AFTERNOON AT 4 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400-13100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............71 79 91 99 103 104  
RH..............47 36 26 20 17 14  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE N NNE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 7 9 12 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST. 19  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 600 3900 8900 11400 12900  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 12 13 14  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH, BECOMING NORTHEAST  
8 TO 13 MPH LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 8400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 3800 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT  
AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING  
INCREASING TO 2000-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
LAL.............2 2 2 2  
TEMP............102 89 82 79  
RH..............15 26 40 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 10 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....12000 100 500 1900  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 22 20  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH, BECOMING EAST  
6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-8200 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
LAL.............2 2 2 2  
TEMP............73 82 89 92  
RH..............49 43 30 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 9 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 3000 5700 7100  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 10  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...LYSTER  
REQUESTED BY...5100 (BRYSON)  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1813291.1/MAF  
.DELDT 07/23/18  
 
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