820  
FXUS65 KLKN 192110  
AFDLKN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV  
210 PM PDT TUE JUN 19 2018  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY,  
ALONG WITH SOME BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS. MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE A  
FEW DEGREES COOLER OVER THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN  
NV. DRY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SHORTWAVE ENERGY CLIPPING  
NORTHEASTERN NV THIS AFTERNOON WILL EXIT TO THE EAST THIS EVENING  
WITH DIMINISHING CLOUDS. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM  
THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY WHILE AT THE SAME TIME SHORTWAVE ENERGY  
MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN CA AND NW NEVADA. GFS MODEL SUGGEST THE  
MERGING AIR MASSES WILL LEAD TO SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUILD-UPS  
ACROSS AND NEAR LANDER EUREKA AND NORTHERN NYE COUNTIES. NOT  
EXPECTING ANY TS OR SHOWER ACTIVITY HOWEVER. TEMPERATURES WILL  
WARM ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT  
INCREASES.  
 
THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVER NW NV WEDNESDAY EXTENDS ACROSS ALL OF  
NORTHERN NV ON THURSDAY. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND  
INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES ON THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON FOR CUMULUS BUILD-UPS. HELD OFF ON INTRODUCING ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AREA AT THIS TIME, WITH POPS LIMITED TO  
AROUND 5-10 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH IF TS DID DEVELOP ACROSS THE FAR  
NORTH ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON STORMS WOULD LIKELY BE DRY.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE CWA WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY.  
 
   
LONG TERM
 
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. WEAK TROUGH  
ENERGY CLIPPING NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES THURSDAY  
EVENING WILL EXIT EAST THURSDAY NIGHT. SLIGHTLY COOLER ON FRIDAY  
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN NV AS ONE WEAK TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST,  
AND A SECOND APPROACHES FROM THE NW. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON WINDS WILL AGAIN BE BREEZY. A SECOND, AND  
SLIGHTLY TROUGH WILL DROP IN ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NV ON SATURDAY.  
HAVE INTRODUCED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY THE NE  
PORTION OF ELKO COUNTY. THIS TROUGH EXITS INTO WEST-CENTRAL UT  
SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN BEHIND THE  
EXITING SYSTEM. DRY ACROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH  
PRESSURE REBUILDS ACROSS THE CWA SENDING HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO  
THE LOW TO MID 90S FOR MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION....AVIATION
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL  
TERMINALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
THURSDAY THERE WILL BE SOME INSTABILITY ACROSS  
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES. FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE ENOUGH  
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING CLOUDS, BUT  
NOT THUNDERSTORMS. A STRONGER SYSTEM ON SATURDAY MAY BRING A FEW  
LIGHTNING STRIKES TO ZONE 470 AND POSSIBLY FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF  
469. AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BE BREEZY THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
IN GENERAL, DRY AND WARM OVER THE COMING WEEK.  
 

 
   
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
96/96/96/96  
 
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