840  
FNUS51 KBTV 230936  
FWFBTV  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL/NORTHERN VERMONT AND  
NORTHERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY  
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS A RESULT...EXPECT AN INCREASING THREAT OF HEAVY  
RAINFALL BY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY AS DEEP SUBTROPICAL  
MOISTURE OVERSPREADS THE AREA. ANTECEDENT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE  
PAST FEW DAYS HAS LED TO NEAR SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. THIS  
FACTOR...COMBINED WITH AMPLE CLOUD COVER AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL  
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL KEEP AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE ANY CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. THIS IS REFLECTED IN  
THE FORECASTS BELOW.  
 
NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-232115-  
EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-  
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY...  
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...BURLINGTON...  
MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 100 100  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 73 66 71  
20FTWND AM(MPH) SE 5 S 13 G29  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 10 G24 SE 12 G26 S 16 G43  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.33 1.37 1.54  
PRECIP DURATION 9 12 12  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 76 97 72  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 5 4 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 4300 NONE 2590  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SE 29  
VENTILATION RATE 72920 79870  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ006-008-010-016>018-232115-  
LAMOILLE-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-  
EASTERN ADDISON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE...MONTPELIER...  
BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...  
BRISTOL...RIPTON  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 100 100  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 69 62 68  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 5 G17 S 13 G32  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 9 G20 SE 12 G26 S 16 G42  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.38 0.98 1.56  
PRECIP DURATION 10 12 12  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 80 99 78  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 5 3 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 4030 NONE 2350  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 SE 30  
VENTILATION RATE 66070 61200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ003-004-007-232115-  
ORLEANS-ESSEX-CALEDONIA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...ST. JOHNSBURY  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 80 100  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 70 62 68  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 11 G34  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 8 G19 SE 9 G23 S 15 G42  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.35 0.73 1.25  
PRECIP DURATION 9 12 12  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 79 99 78  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 5 3 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 3520 8PM-8AM/FA-GD 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 S 33  
VENTILATION RATE 54630 86830  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ011-232115-  
WESTERN RUTLAND-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 100 100  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 69 64 70  
20FTWND AM(MPH) SE 6 SE 17 G25  
20FTWND PM(MPH) SE 9 G17 SE 16 S 19 G34  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.51 1.51 1.61  
PRECIP DURATION 2 12 12  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 82 99 74  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 5 3 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 2350 NONE 1990  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 SE 30  
VENTILATION RATE 28040 55690  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ012-019-232115-  
WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...  
EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 100 100  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 67 62 68  
20FTWND AM(MPH) SE 5 G17 SE 14 G32  
20FTWND PM(MPH) SE 7 G19 SE 12 G24 SE 15 G41  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.47 1.07 1.56  
PRECIP DURATION 2 12 12  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 83 100 78  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 5 3 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 2090 8PM-8AM/FA-GD 1900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 SE 31  
VENTILATION RATE 28910 55040  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ026-027-029-087-232115-  
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-  
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...  
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 90 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 74 62 71  
20FTWND AM(MPH) SE 5 S 9  
20FTWND PM(MPH) SE 9 G20 SE 8 G21 S 10  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.43 0.31  
PRECIP DURATION 9 12 10  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 76 100 75  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
LAL 5 4 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 4520 8PM-8AM/FA-GD 2580  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 S 10  
VENTILATION RATE 64700 30370  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ030-031-034-232115-  
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...  
DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID  
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 100 90  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP 71 62 67  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 11 G25  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 9 G21 S 11 G26 S 10 G25  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 1.32 0.83  
PRECIP DURATION 9 12 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX/MIN RH % 76 98 78  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 5 4 3  
MIXING HGT/DISP 3610 NONE 2350  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 S 12  
VENTILATION RATE 50720 29830  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
JMG  
 
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