007  
FXUS61 KBOX 110844  
AFDBOX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA  
344 AM EST THU JAN 11 2018  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION  
TODAY AND TONIGHT RESULTING IN MILDER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH  
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DENSE FOG. VERY MILD WEATHER IS  
ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH AN INCREASING RISK FOR HEAVY  
RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND FLOODING LATER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A  
SHARP TURN TO MUCH COLDER WEATHER OCCURS RAPIDLY ON SATURDAY,  
WHICH MAY ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE TO ICE IN MANY LOCATIONS  
ALONG WITH A FLASH FREEZE. MAINLY DRY BUT VERY COLD WEATHER IS  
EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE POTENTIAL  
FOR SOME SNOW AND/OR MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
 
 
A SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO  
TRANSPORT MILDER AIR INTO THE REGION TODAY. THE WARM ADVECTION  
PATTERN WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...BUT DO EXPECT  
SOME PEEKS OF SUNSHINE ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS.  
GIVEN DECENT MIXING AND UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPS ALOFT...EXPECT  
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO THE LOWER 50S  
WITH A FEW LOCATIONS POSSIBLE REACHING INTO THE MIDDLE 50S. DRY  
WEATHER IS GENERALLY EXPECTED TODAY GIVEN UPPER LEVEL RIDGING  
AND LACK OF SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING. HOWEVER...SOME GUIDANCE  
INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPING WHILE OTHER DATA  
SUGGESTS IT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL MAINLY TONIGHT.  
NONETHELESS...WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR SOME FOG DEVELOPING LATER  
TODAY ESPECIALLY WITH HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR MOVING OVER THE  
SNOWPACK.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
 
 
***AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT SOME OF WHICH MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE***  
 
***UNSEASONABLY MILD FRIDAY WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND SIGNIFICANT  
URBAN/STREET FLOODING THREAT FOR THE LATE DAY/EVENING COMMUTE***  
 
TONIGHT  
 
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALONG WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL  
KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S TONIGHT. AS UNSEASONABLY HIGH  
DEWPOINTS OVERRUN THE DEEP SNOWPACK IN PLACE...AREAS OF FOG  
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SOME MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE. LATER  
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO CONSIDER A DENSE FOG ADVISORY. WHILE SPOTTY  
DRIZZLE AND PERHAPS A FEW SPOT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE  
TONIGHT...BEST FORCING AND DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN  
TO OUR WEST. THEREFORE...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF  
RAINFALL TONIGHT.  
 
FRIDAY  
 
POTENT SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST  
INCREASING THE FORCING FOR ASCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
THIS COMBINED WITH HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PWATS 4+ STANDARD  
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL ALONG WITH A LOW LEVEL JET 3+ STANDARD  
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THESE INGREDIENTS WILL RESULT IN HEAVY  
RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING LATER FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY  
EVENING...ESPECIALLY WITH A RAPIDLY MELTING SNOW PACK AS HIGH  
TEMPERATURES LIKELY SOAR INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S. THE  
HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE WEST  
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS HOLDING OFF UNTIL THE EVENING  
ON THE COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN STORM CLOGGED SNOW DRAINS AND HEAVY  
RAINFALL THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT URBAN/STREET FLOODING  
EXISTS WITH A POTENTIAL IMPACT TO THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE.  
GUIDANCE IS ALSO INDICATING A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF MUCAPE SO  
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THERE WAS AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR  
TWO. AS THE PREVIOUS SHIFT ALSO MENTIONED WILL HAVE TO WATCH  
SOME OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS AS WELL AND CAN NOT RULE OUT  
ISOLATED ICE JAM FLOODING.  
 
LASTLY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN  
MA/RI TO REACH OR EXCEED 60 SOME OF THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET  
MIGHT BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN. THIS IS ALWAYS DIFFICULT TO  
FORECAST...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO  
50 MPH EXISTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. LATER  
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO CONSIDER A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL  
PLAIN.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
 
 
*/ HIGHLIGHTS...  
 
- MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND SNOWMELT CONTRIBUTING TO POSSIBLE  
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY  
 
- SURGING WARMER AIR BEGINNING THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY,  
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED ICE JAMS, RIVER FLOODING  
 
- COLDER AIR SURGING INTO THE REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK, A POSSIBLE  
SNOW EVENT TOWARDS MIDWEEK  
 
*/ OVERVIEW...  
 
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH IMPRESSIVE TEMPERATURE SWINGS. LESS  
AMPLIFIED PATTERN OVER THE N PACIFIC, THE ATTENDANT H3 JET BREAKING  
FURTHER E INTO THE W CONUS, USHERANCE OF MILDER AIR, POTENTIAL MJO  
IMPLICATIONS, DOWNSTREAM OPPORTUNITIES OF ONSHORE ENERGY TO TAP INTO  
BOTH N AND S STREAMS. AGAINST A STOUT H5 ATLANTIC RIDGE, MAINTAINED  
BY FORECAST TRAFFIC AROUND THE AZORES, A SLOWED H5 PATTERN, BOTH N  
AND S STREAM ENERGY HAS THE CAPABILITY OF STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE  
PREFERRED H5 TROF PATTERN OVER THE E CONUS CAPTURING TROPICAL AIR  
AND ENERGY N IN ADVANCE WHILE DRAGGING S ARCTIC AIR TO THE REAR. THE  
CLASH OF AIRMASSES, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NE CONUS, ATMOSPHERIC  
RESPONSE TO RESTORE BALANCE, LOOKING AT A STORMY PATTERN BY THE END  
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND TO WHICH WILL BE ADDRESSED BELOW.  
 
*/ FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...  
 
PREFERRED H5 TROF EVOLVING OVER E/NE CONUS, CAPTURING BOTH S AND N  
STREAM ENERGY, TRANSPORTING N HIGHLY ANOMALOUS TROPICAL AIR WHILE  
SWINGING REARWARD COLD, ARCTIC TEMPERATURES. LIFT AND QG-FORCING  
MECHANISMS APPARENT ALONG CONVEYOR BELT MOTIONS AS WAVES OF LOW  
PRESSURE EMERGE ALONG THE BAROCLINIC / COLD FRONTAL ZONE BENEATH  
INDIVIDUAL MID-LEVEL IMPULSES. ACTING UPON DEEP COLUMN MOISTURE WITH  
HIGH FREEZING LEVEL HEIGHTS (UPWARDS OF 12 KFT), EFFICIENT RAINFALL  
PROCESSES APPARENT. MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES, ALONG WITH STRONG S  
WINDS ALOFT AND HIGH DEWPOINT AIR, ACROSS REMNANT DEEP SNOWPACK AND  
ICED UP RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES, THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING EXISTS AS  
WELL AS DAMAGING WINDS WHICH WILL BE DISCUSSED IN SHORT BELOW ALONG  
WITH ANY HEADLINES.  
 
HEAVY RAIN / FLOODING...  
 
FROM A CONSENSUS OF ENSEMBLE AND PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE, LOOKING AT  
A TROPICAL-SOURCE PLUME TO BE ADVECTED AND FORCED UPWARD THROUGH THE  
ATMOSPHERIC LAYER BY STRONGLY CONVERGENT LOW-LEVEL (H925-85) WINDS  
AND ATTENDANT MID-LEVEL IMPULSES BENEATH THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF  
THE UPPER LEVEL JET. EFFICIENT WARM RAIN PROCESSES AND CONSIDERATION  
OF A S/SW PERSISTENT STREAM OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE, NO SURPRISE TO  
SEE PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE HIGHLIGHTING THE DECENT CHANCE OF STORM  
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 4-INCHES ESPECIALLY OVER SE NEW ENGLAND  
WITH THE POTENTIAL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IN A 12-HOUR PERIOD, POSSIBLY AS  
SHORT AT 6-HOURS.  
 
A REMNANT SNOWPACK AROUND 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER MUCH OF S NEW ENGLAND,  
ABSORBING MOISTURE OUT OF THE AIR AND IN SOME INSTANCES THE GROUND,  
HAVE QUICKLY GATHERED SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT MEASUREMENTS OF AROUND 2  
INCHES UPWARDS OF 3 INCHES. ALSO NEED TO CONSIDER THE FROZEN GROUND  
WHICH SIMPLY AIDS THE RUNOFF OF ANY LIQUID INSTEAD OF LEECHING INTO  
THE GROUND.  
 
CONSIDERING SNOW MELT THAT WILL PRECEDE HEAVY RAIN, INCREASING S  
WINDS AND RISING SURFACE DEWPOINTS THAT'LL DEFINITELY EAT THE SNOW,  
A LOT OF WATER GOING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM A VERY ANOMALOUS EVENT.  
YES, SNOW PACK WILL ABSORB SOME OF THE WATER, BUT THERE'S A LOT OF  
WATER GOING INTO THE SYSTEM. FEEL THE WRITING IS ON THE WALL. THAT  
AND POTENTIAL ISOLATED ICE JAMS ON THE RIVERS, HAVE GONE AHEAD AND  
ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. NOT SPLITTING HAIRS GIVEN  
THREATS OF EITHER OR ARE AREA-WIDE. THE FLOOD THREAT EXACERBATED BY  
AFOREMENTIONED ISOLATED ICE JAMS ALONG ANY RIVERS, AND WITHIN URBAN  
LOCATIONS, ANY SNOW CLOGGED DRAINS.  
 
AS TO RIVERS AND STREAMS, WITH ENOUGH THAWING HOURS IN ADVANCE AND  
DURING THE STORM, BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON, A FOOT OF ICE OR  
MORE ON SOME OF THE RIVERS, THERE IS THE ISOLATED POSSIBILITY OF ICE  
JAMS ESPECIALLY IF THE RIVER HEIGHT CAN EXCEED 3-TIMES THE THICKNESS  
OF THE ICE PROMOTING MECHANICAL BREAK-UP. ALSO A DEPENDENCE ON WHAT  
HAPPENS N OF US IN THE RIVER / SMALL-STREAM SYSTEM. IN ALL, ENSEMBLE  
RIVER FORECAST GUIDANCE HIGHLIGHTING A NUMBER OF POINTS TO GO INTO  
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING STATUS INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
STRONG / DAMAGING WINDS...  
 
A STOUT INVERSION IN PLACE WITH A PRONOUNCED WARM-NOSE LAYER AROUND  
H95-85. LOOKING AT TWO PERIODS AT THE TOP OF THE INVERSION WHERE S  
WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT HURRICANE FORCE, DURING FRIDAY FOR ALL OF  
S NEW ENGLAND AND AROUND SATURDAY MORNING FOR SE NEW ENGLAND. BUT A  
QUESTION OF WHETHER MECHANICAL MIXING / PRECIPITATION DRAG FROM RAIN  
COULD BRING DOWN FASTER WINDS TO THE SURFACE, ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES  
SIGNALING A STRONG CHANCE OF REACHING 45 TO 55 MPH GUSTS. HESITANT  
AS CIPS ANALOGS OFF THE 10.12Z GUIDANCE HAVE ONLY A MODERATE CHANCE  
OF 35 MPH GUSTS, A LOWER NEARLY NON-EXISTENT CHANCE OF GUSTS OVER 40  
MPH.  
 
CERTAINLY 2M TEMPERATURE / DEWPOINT DEPENDENT, MODELS AND ASSOCIATED  
SOUNDINGS COULD BE TOO COOL, INVERSION LESS STOUT, GREATER ABILITY  
FOR WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. HOWEVER LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS  
TIME, FEEL ENSEMBLES CAN'T CAPTURE THE SMALL-SCALE INVERSION. WILL  
HOLD OFF ON ANY WIND HEADLINES WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
AREAS OF DENSE FOG...  
 
HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR STREAMING OVER REMNANT SNOWPACK AS WELL AS THE  
COLDER OCEAN WATERS, LIKELY TO GET A COMBINATION OF LOW CLOUDS AND/OR  
DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITY IN SPOTS DOWN TO A MILE OR LESS DESPITE  
THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THREAT AS WELL AS BREEZY S WINDS. MOISTURE  
TRAPPED BENEATH THE AFOREMENTIONED H95-85 WARM NOSE, THE STOUT INVERSION,  
EXPECTING SOUPY CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. HIGHEST  
CONFIDENCE ALONG THE S-COAST AND ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN.  
 
ICE THREAT...  
 
ON SATURDAY, THE SECOND WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE SWEEPING N/E ACROSS S  
NEW ENGLAND, COLDER AIR ON THE CUSP, WAITING IN THE WINGS ASSOCIATED  
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING S OUT OF CANADA TO THE REAR OF  
THE PREFERRED H5 TROF, THERE'S THE POTENTIAL FOR ANABATIC COLD FRONT  
PROCESSES TO YIELD A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN / WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE  
INTERIOR NE CONUS.  
 
A FEW THINGS WORTH NOTING: 1.) DRY WITHIN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE,  
2.) ABSENT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE N/E, PRONOUNCED NEARLY 1050 MB N/W,  
AND 3.) PER BOTH SURFACE WINDS AND AGEOSTROPHIC FLOW, INDICATIONS OF  
W UNDERCUTTING FLOW THAT LEND TO A DEEPENING COLD LAYER BELOW H9  
TOWARDS -10C, AND 4.) CYCLONIC FLOW, LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, LIFT ALONG  
THE ANABATIC COLD FRONT WITH SOME MID TO UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH  
ADDITIONAL ENERGY AHEAD OF A WEAK H5 TROF AXIS BENEATH A CONTINUED  
RIGHT-REAR QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET.  
 
EVERYTHING IN PERSPECTIVE, THERE IS THE THREAT ESPECIALLY OVER N/W  
MA OF A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN POTENTIALLY TRANSITIONING TO SLEET  
BEFORE ALL IS SAID DONE. WILL HIGHLIGHT IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER  
OUTLOOK THE POTENTIAL THREAT, SOMETHING WE'LL NEED TO WATCH.  
 
*/ SUNDAY ONWARD...  
 
A QUICK GLANCE AT THE FORECAST, A PERIOD OF COLD WEATHER AS USHERED  
BEHIND AND THROUGH THE PREFERRED H5 TROF PATTERN. ANOTHER PACIFIC  
DISTURBANCE ROTATING THROUGH THE FLOW, THE BAROCLINIC ZONE / COLD  
FRONT PUSHED OFFSHORE, CONSENSUS OF MODEL GUIDANCE PICKING UP ON A  
WAVE LOW POTENTIALLY OUTSIDE OF THE BENCH MARK. STILL A SPREAD WITH  
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS, WE LIKELY WILL NOT HAVE A BETTER IDEA TILL WE GET  
WITHIN 96 HOURS AT A MAXIMUM. BEHIND THE SYSTEM, KEEP THE COLD AIR  
IN PLACE BUT CAN'T RULE OUT A BUMP OF MILDER AIR IF THE PACIFIC  
PATTERN OUTLINED IN THE OVERVIEW CONTINUES, SHOTS OF MILDER AIR INTO  
THE CONUS, HIGHER HEIGHTS AND COLDER AIR SHUNTED N.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...  
 
LOW - LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.  
MODERATE - 30 TO 60 PERCENT.  
HIGH - GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.  
 
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...  
 
TODAY..LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE. TIMING IS QUITE  
UNCERTAIN BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR-IFR CONDITIONS  
WILL INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING AND ESPECIALLY THIS  
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE INTERIOR. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE  
IS ALSO INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPING  
THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE OTHER DATA HOLDS THAT OFF UNTIL TONIGHT.  
GREATEST RISK FOR FOG THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ACROSS THE  
INTERIOR.  
 
TONIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. LOW END MVFR TO IFR/LIFR  
CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED IN LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. SOME OF THE FOG  
MAY BECOME LOCALLY DENSE AS HIGH DEWPOINT AIR BEGINS TO OVERRUN  
THE DEEP SNOW PACK IN PLACE. LLWS ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE  
TOWARD DAYBREAK.  
 
FRIDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. IFR TO LOCALIZED LIFR CONDITIONS  
EXPECTED IN LOW CLOUDS,FOG AND INCREASING THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN  
INCREASING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. LLWS  
ALSO EXPECTED AND A RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER CAN NOT BE RULED  
OUT. STRONGEST SURFACE WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS EASTERN  
MA/RI WHERE SOME SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 KNOT WIND GUSTS ARE  
POSSIBLE.  
 
KBOS TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MVFR CONDITIONS MAY  
OVERSPREAD THE TERMINAL THIS AFTERNOON PERHAPS LOWING TO IFR  
THRESHOLDS SOMETIME TONIGHT.  
 
KBDL TERMINAL...LOW CONFIDENCE. SOME GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT LOW CLOUDS  
AND DENSE FOG MAY OVERSPREAD THE TERMINAL LATER TODAY,BUT OTHER  
DATA SUGGESTS IT MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL TONIGHT.  
 
OUTLOOK /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...  
 
FRIDAY NIGHT: MAINLY IFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. BREEZY. RA,  
AREAS BR.  
 
SATURDAY: MAINLY IFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. WINDY WITH  
LOCAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. RA LIKELY, AREAS BR, CHANCE FZRA.  
 
SATURDAY NIGHT: MAINLY MVFR, WITH LOCAL VFR POSSIBLE. BREEZY.  
SLIGHT CHANCE FZRA.  
 
SUNDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE.  
 
SUNDAY NIGHT: VFR.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...  
 
LOW - LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.  
MODERATE - 30 TO 60 PERCENT.  
HIGH - GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.  
 
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...  
 
TODAY AND TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. SOUTHWEST WIND  
GUSTS OF 20 KNOTS EXPECTED IN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN  
THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR  
EASTERN MOST OUTER-WATERS WHERE WE WILL HAVE SMALL CRAFT  
HEADLINES. THE REST OF THE WATERS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW  
CRITERIA THROUGH TONIGHT.  
 
FRIDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. INCREASING SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET  
WILL ALLOW FOR BUILDING SEAS AND INCREASING WINDS ACROSS THE  
REGION. STRONG SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES ARE A SURE BET...BUT THE  
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MARGINAL GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS DURING THE  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGHEST RISK FOR THIS WILL BE NEARSHORE  
WHERE BETTER MIXING RESIDES. OPTED TO ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR ALL  
WATERS AND LATER SHIFTS CAN GO WITH ADVISORIES OR UPGRADE TO  
WARNINGS.  
 
OUTLOOK /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...  
 
FRIDAY: STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO  
11 FT. RAIN, AREAS FOG.  
 
FRIDAY NIGHT: LOW RISK FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 12 FT. RAIN, AREAS FOG.  
VISIBILITY 1 TO 3 NM.  
 
SATURDAY: LOW RISK FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WITH LOCAL  
GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 12 FT. RAIN, AREAS FOG,  
CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN. AREAS OF VISIBILITY 1 TO 3 NM.  
 
SATURDAY NIGHT: WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 10 FT.  
CHANCE OF RAIN, AREAS FOG, SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.  
 
SUNDAY: WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. AREAS OF ROUGH SEAS.  
 
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY: WINDS LESS THAN  
25 KT. SEAS UP TO 5 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.  
 

 
   
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
CT...FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR  
CTZ002>004.  
MA...FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR  
MAZ002>024-026.  
RI...FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR  
RIZ001>008.  
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR  
ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ250.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...FRANK  
NEAR TERM...FRANK  
SHORT TERM...FRANK  
LONG TERM...SIPPRELL  
AVIATION...FRANK/SIPPRELL  
MARINE...FRANK/SIPPRELL  
 
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