264  
FNUS73 KFGF 021341  
FWSFGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE PEN...US FISH AND WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND  
841 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2008  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH OUT OF CANADA IS CURRENTLY ALONG THE  
INTERNATIONAL BORDER. SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS SHOW PREDOMINANTLY  
LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS OF ABOUT 5 TO 8 MPH. AS THE FRONT  
APPROACHES...EXPECT THE WINDS TO GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWEST THEN  
NORTH AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH BY IGNITION TIME. ONCE THE FRONT  
PASSES...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BUT REMAIN IN  
THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE. HUMIDITIES WILL START IN THE 90 PERCENT  
RANGE EARLY AND AS TEMPERATURES WARM UP...WILL GRADUALLY DROP TO THE  
55 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE BY IGNITION TIME AND WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE  
40 TO 45 PERCENT RANGE BY LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE A  
SLOW RISE TO THE MID 50S AS CLOUD COVER WILL HAMPER WARMING  
TODAY. POOR VENTILATION RATES THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE...BECOMING  
EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LIGHT WINDS ALOFT FRIDAY WILL  
RESULT IN ONLY POOR TO FAIR CONDITIONS ALL DAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SPRINKLES IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........75 74 69  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............54 58 59  
RH..............59 51 47  
20 FT WIND......N 10 NE 13 NE 13  
20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF  
FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO  
5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........63 55 46 36 30 26  
WEATHER COV..... AREAS AREAS AREAS  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FROST FROST FROST  
TEMP............54 46 41 38 36 34  
RH..............54 71 82 89 89 92  
20 FT WIND......N 8 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 NE 5 E 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5100 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........23 20 18 19 24 31  
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  
WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............32 35 45 53 58 59  
RH..............95 89 62 48 40 37  
20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 E 5 SE 5 E 5 E 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOPKINS  
REQUESTED BY...LARRY ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 20081002.GOOSE.01/FGF  
 
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