727  
WTNT23 KNHC 151430  
TCMAT3  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007  
1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 53.7W AT 15/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 53.7W AT 15/1500Z  
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 53.3W  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 55.0W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N 56.5W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 58.0W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 59.5W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.5N 61.0W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 25.0N 63.0W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 26.0N 64.0W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 53.7W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER AVILA  
 
 
 
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