724
FONT12 KNHC 110233
PWSAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
0300 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND TURK 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 10(10) 12(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
CAPE BEATA 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
PUERTO PLATA 34 4 26(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 8 29(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PONCE 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
SAN JUAN 34 79 X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
SAINT THOMAS 34 51 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 185N 676W 34 51 4(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
12 185N 676W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 185N 676W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 184N 706W 34 2 26(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 184N 706W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 184N 706W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 180N 738W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
36 180N 738W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 180N 738W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 178N 769W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 178N 769W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 178N 769W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 30 25 25 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER BEVEN
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