607
FONT12 KNHC 120233
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
0300 UTC WED DEC 12 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LES CAYES 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PUERTO PLATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 190N 730W 34 11 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
12 190N 730W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 190N 730W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 195N 760W 34 X 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 195N 760W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 195N 760W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 195N 785W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 195N 785W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 195N 785W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 195N 800W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 195N 800W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 195N 800W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 195N 830W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 195N 830W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 195N 830W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER AVILA
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