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FONT12 KNHC 120833
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
0900 UTC WED DEC 12 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 8( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 38 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 194N 749W 34 27 5(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
12 194N 749W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 194N 749W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 196N 777W 34 X 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 196N 777W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 196N 777W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 198N 796W 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
36 198N 796W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 198N 796W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 200N 815W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 200N 815W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 200N 815W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 205N 840W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 205N 840W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 205N 840W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER BEVEN
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