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PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
1500 UTC WED DEC 12 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13)
HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CAMAGUEY 34 18 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
MONTEGO BAY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 192N 776W 34 18 2(20) X(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
12 192N 776W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 192N 776W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 195N 805W 34 1 12(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 195N 805W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 195N 805W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 200N 827W 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
36 200N 827W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 200N 827W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 205N 845W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
48 205N 845W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 205N 845W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 215N 865W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 215N 865W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 215N 865W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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