487
WTNT32 KNHC 100833
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
500 AM AST THU SEP 10 2009
..FRED STILL A POWERFUL HURRICANE
EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY
LATE TONIGHT...
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.6 WEST OR ABOUT 705 MILES...
1135 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A CONSIDERABLE DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED BY LATE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON
FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FRED IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
FRED IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
..SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION
LOCATION...15.9N 34.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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