536
WTNT22 KNHC 110236
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
0300 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 35.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 35.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 35.1W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.7N 35.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.9N 34.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.0N 34.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.3N 34.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 21.5N 41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N 45.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 35.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
FORECASTER BERG
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