821
WTPZ25 KNHC 200247
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LA
PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT
OR EARLY TUESDAY.
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF AGUA
BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST AND NORTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ON TUESDAY FOR THE
COAST OF WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.8W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 75SE 75SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 220SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.8W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 111.8W
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 23.0N 108.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.8N 106.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 111.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN
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