543  
WTNT21 KNHC 070232  
TCMAT1  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009  
0300 UTC SAT NOV 07 2009  
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO  
AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 84.0W AT 07/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 84.0W AT 07/0300Z  
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 83.9W  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.1N 84.2W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.4N 84.8W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.7N 85.5W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.4N 86.5W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 88.0W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N 87.0W...EXTRATROPICAL  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 85.6W...EXTRATROPICAL  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 84.0W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BERG  
 
 
 
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