730  
WTNT22 KNHC 092036  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017  
2100 UTC MON OCT 09 2017  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 39.6W AT 09/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 3 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.  
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 39.6W AT 09/2100Z  
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 39.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.6N 39.1W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.4N 38.5W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.8N 37.9W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.1N 37.6W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.7N 36.1W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 31.0N 33.7W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 32.4N 30.0W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 39.6W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER STEWART  
 
 
 
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