590  
WTNT22 KNHC 112030  
TCMAT2  
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017  
2100 UTC WED OCT 11 2017  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 36.1W AT 11/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.  
64 KT....... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.  
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.  
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 60SW 50NW.  
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 90SW 60NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 36.1W AT 11/2100Z  
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 36.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.3N 35.7W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N 35.2W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.4N 34.1W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.3N 31.9W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.5N 24.5W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 43.0N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 53.5N 10.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 36.1W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER ZELINSKY  
 
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