539  
WTNT22 KNHC 141437  
TCMAT2  
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017  
1500 UTC SAT OCT 14 2017  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE  
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.  
 
INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET  
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR  
PRODUCTS ISSUED  
BY THE UK MET OFFICE.  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 26.6W AT 14/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.  
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 15NW.  
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 20NW.  
34 KT....... 80NE 110SE 110SW 40NW.  
12 FT SEAS..180NE 200SE 210SW 400NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 26.6W AT 14/1500Z  
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 27.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.5N 23.0W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 110SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.5N 18.0W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 46.5N 14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 50NE 70SE 65SW 35NW.  
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.  
34 KT...200NE 210SE 220SW 210NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 51.5N 11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
50 KT... 90NE 170SE 150SW 160NW.  
34 KT...230NE 270SE 240SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 59.0N 6.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT...270NE 330SE 240SW 210NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 26.6W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER AVILA  
 
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