754  
WTPZ45 KNHC 281443  
TCDEP5  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017  
1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017  
 
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER OF SELMA CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND  
OVER SAN SALVADOR SINCE MAKING LANDFALL JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS  
AGO. CONVENTIONAL IMAGERY, RADAR DATA, AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS  
INDICATE THAT SELMA HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE  
INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.  
FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY, AND SELMA SHOULD QUICKLY  
DISSIPATE OVER THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. SELMA SHOULD  
TURN NORTHEASTWARD SOON AND CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL MOTION UNTIL  
DISSIPATION TONIGHT, AND THE GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT IN  
THIS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.  
 
THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH SELMA IS HEAVY RAINFALL WITH 2  
TO 5 INCHES THAT COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS IN HIGHER TERRAIN OVER  
PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. GUSTY WINDS TO  
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY.  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 28/1500Z 13.7N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND  
12H 29/0000Z 14.4N 87.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND  
24H 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER ROBERTS  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page