775  
WTNT33 KNHC 282035  
TCPAT3  
 
BULLETIN  
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 5  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017  
500 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2017  
   
..DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE
 
 
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND SPREADING  
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA...  
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...23.0N 82.6W  
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF HAVANA CUBA  
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES  
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:  
 
NONE.  
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD, LA HABANA, CIUDAD DE LA  
HABANA, MATANZAS, CIENFUEGOS, AND VILLA CLARA  
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* CRAIG KEY TO GOLDEN BEACH  
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE  
NEXT 12-18 HOURS.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.  
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS  
SYSTEM.  
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES,  
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR  
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST  
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE  
UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL  
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.  
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK  
------------------------------  
AT 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS  
LOCATED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, RADAR DATA, AND SATELLITE IMAGES  
NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING  
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 29 MPH (46 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED  
TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST  
BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS  
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST  
TRACK, THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WILL MOVE OFF OF THE NORTHERN COAST  
OF CUBA AND INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THIS EVENING, AND MOVE  
ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS OR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA  
OVERNIGHT, AND ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH  
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT  
48 HOURS.  
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (165 KM)  
MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 37  
MPH (59 KM/H) WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL  
AIRPORT.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS  
IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).  
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
RAINFALL: PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THE FOLLOWING RAINFALL  
TOTALS:  
 
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA, NORTHERN BAHAMAS:  
4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES THROUGH  
SUNDAY. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH  
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  
 
SOUTH FLORIDA, INCLUDING THE KEYS: 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED  
MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 6 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS  
MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN URBANIZED AREAS.  
 
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE  
WARNING AREA ACROSS CUBA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO  
OCCUR IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN  
BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE UPPER  
FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHEAST FLORIDA OVERNIGHT, AND IN THE CENTRAL  
BAHAMAS BY SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
TORNADOES: A COUPLE OF BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS  
OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM EDT.  
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.  
 

 
FORECASTER STEWART  
 
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