364  
FONT13 KNHC 282036  
PWSAT3  
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017  
2100 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)  
 
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)  
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)  
 
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)  
 
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)  
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
PATRICK AFB 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
FT PIERCE FL 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
W PALM BEACH 34 13 13(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)  
 
FT LAUDERDALE 34 23 13(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)  
FT LAUDERDALE 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
MIAMI FL 34 30 7(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)  
 
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 37 3(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)  
 
MARATHON FL 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)  
 
KEY WEST FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
GRAND BAHAMA 34 23 50(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)  
GRAND BAHAMA 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 16 9(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)  
 
ANDROS 34 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)  
 
GREAT EXUMA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
CIENFUEGOS 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)  
 

 
FORECASTER STEWART  
 
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