296  
WTNT33 KNHC 282342  
TCPAT3  
 
BULLETIN  
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017  
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2017  
   
..PHILIPPE MOVING OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
 
 
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND SPREADING  
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA...  
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...23.7N 82.5W  
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF HAVANA CUBA  
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...45 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES  
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:  
 
NONE.  
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD, LA HABANA, CIUDAD DE LA  
HABANA, MATANZAS, CIENFUEGOS, AND VILLA CLARA  
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* CRAIG KEY TO GOLDEN BEACH  
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEAN  
S THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE  
NEXT 12-18 HOURS.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.  
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS  
SYSTEM.  
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES,  
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR  
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST  
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE  
UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL  
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.  
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK  
------------------------------  
AT 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS  
LOCATED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, RADAR DATA, AND SATELLITE IMAGES  
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING  
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 28 MPH (45 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST  
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A FASTER  
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST  
TRACK, THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STRAITS OF  
FLORIDA THIS EVENING, AND MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS OR THE  
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT, AND ACROSS THE  
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (165 KM)  
MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS  
IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).  
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
RAINFALL: PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THE FOLLOWING RAINFALL  
TOTALS:  
 
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA, NORTHERN BAHAMAS:  
4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES THROUGH  
SUNDAY. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH  
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  
 
SOUTH FLORIDA, INCLUDING THE KEYS: 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED  
MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 6 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS  
MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN URBANIZED AREAS.  
 
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE  
WARNING AREA ACROSS CUBA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO  
OCCUR IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN  
BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE UPPER  
FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHEAST FLORIDA OVERNIGHT, AND IN THE CENTRAL  
BAHAMAS BY SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
TORNADOES: A COUPLE OF BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS  
OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS EVENING.  
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.  
 

 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
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