286  
FONT13 KNHC 290840  
PWSAT3  
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017  
0900 UTC SUN OCT 29 2017  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
DOVER DE 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NORFOLK VA 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)  
 
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
SURF CITY NC 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
PATRICK AFB 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
FT PIERCE FL 34 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)  
 
W PALM BEACH 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)  
 
FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
NAPLES FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
GRAND BAHAMA 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)  
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
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