325  
ABNT20 KNHC 060531  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
100 AM EST MON NOV 6 2017  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO:  
 
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA CONTINUES  
TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE  
FORMING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE  
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE  
SYSTEM MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. HOWEVER,  
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL  
CYCLONE FORMATION BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK, WHEN THE SYSTEM  
IS EXPECTED TO REACH COLDER WATER AND MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER STEWART  
 
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